Biltmore Championship Asheville

2026-09-17–2026-09-20

Final132 players

Simulated score distribution (100,000 runs)

Winning totalp10 -24 · p25 -21 · p50 -18 · p75 -16 · p90 -13

Cut linep10 -3 · p25 -2 · p50 0 · p75 1 · p90 3

⚠ Pre-tournament projections, not updated for play so far (form through Aug 6, 2026). This event has finished, so the numbers below no longer describe what is left to happen. They are what the model said beforehand, kept on the page rather than withdrawn.

#	Player	Win Gated	Top 5 Gated	Top 10 Gated	Top 20 Gated	Make Cut Ungated
1	Ben Kohles	3.6%	15.5%	26.0%	41.7%	77.9%
2	Beau Hossler	3.4%	14.4%	24.0%	38.5%	75.1%
3	Doug Ghim	3.1%	15.5%	26.9%	44.1%	81.4%
4	Davis Thompson	3.0%	14.8%	25.5%	42.3%	79.8%
5	Kevin Yu	3.0%	14.1%	24.2%	40.3%	78.2%
6	Michael Kim	2.7%	12.5%	21.4%	35.3%	73.0%
7	Jacob Bridgeman	2.7%	13.2%	23.0%	38.3%	77.1%
8	Emiliano Grillo	2.5%	12.1%	21.7%	37.0%	76.1%
9	Corey Conners	2.4%	12.6%	22.5%	38.4%	77.6%
10	Eric Cole	2.2%	10.8%	19.3%	33.1%	72.0%
11	Jackson Suber	2.2%	10.1%	17.5%	29.7%	68.1%
12	Billy Horschel	2.1%	10.4%	18.8%	32.2%	71.7%
13	Nico Echavarria	1.9%	9.4%	16.6%	28.6%	67.8%
14	Zac Blair	1.9%	10.3%	18.9%	33.4%	74.0%
15	Jackson Koivun	1.8%	9.4%	17.3%	30.5%	70.7%
16	Mac Meissner	1.7%	9.8%	18.5%	33.9%	75.4%
17	Mackenzie Hughes	1.7%	9.4%	17.3%	31.0%	71.8%
18	J.T. Poston	1.6%	9.0%	16.8%	30.5%	71.4%
19	Rico Hoey	1.4%	7.6%	14.2%	25.9%	66.4%
20	Chandler Phillips	1.4%	7.9%	14.9%	27.7%	69.4%
21	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.4%	8.8%	17.5%	33.3%	76.3%
22	Ben James	1.3%	6.8%	12.7%	23.2%	62.9%
23	Denny McCarthy	1.3%	8.5%	16.5%	31.3%	74.0%
24	Kevin Roy	1.3%	7.6%	14.4%	26.9%	68.8%
25	Kristoffer Ventura	1.3%	7.5%	14.4%	26.8%	68.6%
26	Michael Thompson	1.2%	7.1%	13.6%	25.1%	65.7%
27	Nick Taylor	1.2%	7.2%	14.1%	27.1%	70.1%
28	Zach Bauchou	1.2%	6.5%	12.4%	23.1%	63.5%
29	Rasmus Højgaard	1.1%	6.6%	12.7%	24.2%	65.4%
30	Ryo Hisatsune	1.1%	6.6%	13.0%	24.7%	66.3%
31	Andrew Novak	1.1%	6.4%	12.4%	23.5%	64.6%
32	Keita Nakajima	1.1%	6.5%	12.5%	23.9%	65.3%
33	Max McGreevy	1.1%	6.0%	11.5%	21.9%	62.2%
34	Séamus Power	1.0%	6.5%	12.7%	24.4%	66.2%
35	Chris Kirk	1.0%	6.8%	13.6%	26.4%	69.5%
36	Joel Dahmen	1.0%	6.1%	12.0%	23.2%	65.2%
37	Max Greyserman	1.0%	5.7%	11.3%	21.6%	62.0%
38	Ricky Castillo	1.0%	6.3%	12.5%	24.4%	67.1%
39	Tom Hoge	0.9%	5.7%	11.4%	22.2%	63.7%
40	Stephan Jaeger	0.9%	5.7%	11.4%	22.3%	64.0%
41	David Skinns	0.9%	5.3%	10.6%	20.6%	61.3%
42	Blades Brown	0.9%	5.4%	10.8%	21.0%	62.2%
43	Andrew Putnam	0.8%	5.8%	11.8%	23.2%	66.2%
44	Pierceson Coody	0.8%	4.9%	9.9%	19.4%	59.9%
45	Patrick Fishburn	0.8%	5.1%	10.5%	20.9%	63.1%
46	Ben Silverman	0.8%	5.0%	10.3%	21.0%	63.6%
47	William Mouw	0.8%	4.6%	9.1%	18.0%	58.1%
48	Erik Van Rooyen	0.8%	4.8%	9.7%	19.1%	60.1%
49	Johnny Keefer	0.7%	4.8%	9.6%	19.3%	60.4%
50	Austin Eckroat	0.7%	5.1%	10.7%	21.8%	65.1%
51	Kevin Streelman	0.7%	4.8%	9.7%	19.6%	61.8%
52	John Parry	0.7%	4.6%	9.4%	19.1%	60.8%
53	Zecheng Dou	0.7%	4.5%	9.2%	18.9%	60.4%
54	Taylor Moore	0.7%	4.5%	9.3%	19.1%	60.9%
55	Marco Penge	0.7%	3.9%	7.8%	15.8%	54.6%
56	Taylor Pendrith	0.6%	4.5%	9.2%	19.0%	61.2%
57	Harry Higgs	0.6%	3.7%	7.4%	14.8%	52.7%
58	Will Gordon	0.6%	3.9%	8.0%	16.3%	56.2%
59	Tony Finau	0.6%	4.1%	8.8%	18.4%	60.6%
60	Webb Simpson	0.6%	4.2%	8.9%	18.8%	61.8%
61	Hayden Springer	0.6%	3.8%	7.9%	16.2%	56.7%
62	Davis Riley	0.5%	3.1%	6.3%	12.6%	48.6%
63	Matthieu Pavon	0.5%	3.3%	6.8%	14.1%	53.3%
64	Jesper Svensson	0.5%	3.3%	6.5%	13.5%	51.1%
65	Karl Vilips	0.5%	3.4%	6.9%	14.1%	52.7%
66	Lucas Glover	0.5%	3.5%	7.5%	15.8%	56.9%
67	David Ford	0.5%	3.1%	6.5%	13.7%	52.9%
68	Chad Ramey	0.5%	3.2%	6.9%	14.6%	55.1%
69	Adrien Dumont De Chassart	0.4%	3.3%	7.2%	15.6%	57.3%
70	David Lipsky	0.4%	3.1%	6.7%	14.5%	54.8%
71	A.J. Ewart	0.4%	3.2%	7.1%	15.1%	56.7%
72	Kevin Kisner	0.4%	2.9%	6.0%	12.7%	51.0%
73	Davis Chatfield	0.4%	3.1%	6.8%	14.8%	55.3%
74	Hao-Tong Li	0.4%	2.6%	5.4%	11.3%	47.8%
75	Steven Fisk	0.4%	3.0%	6.6%	14.4%	55.4%
76	Tyler Duncan	0.4%	2.7%	5.8%	12.8%	52.1%
77	Luke Clanton	0.4%	3.0%	6.5%	14.0%	54.4%
78	Takumi Kanaya	0.4%	3.1%	6.9%	15.4%	57.5%
79	Troy Merritt	0.4%	2.6%	5.7%	12.5%	51.4%
80	Austin Smotherman	0.3%	2.5%	5.5%	12.3%	51.3%
81	Camilo Villegas	0.3%	2.5%	5.3%	11.8%	50.3%
82	Justin Lower	0.3%	2.4%	5.2%	12.0%	51.4%
83	Mark Hubbard	0.3%	2.7%	6.2%	14.2%	56.3%
84	Jonathan Byrd	0.3%	2.5%	5.9%	13.4%	55.3%
85	Aaron Wise	0.3%	2.2%	5.1%	11.7%	51.2%
86	Neal Shipley	0.3%	2.2%	5.0%	11.5%	51.6%
87	Cameron Champ	0.3%	2.2%	4.9%	11.0%	49.1%
88	Hank Lebioda	0.3%	2.4%	5.3%	12.4%	52.9%
89	Ben Martin	0.3%	2.1%	4.6%	10.7%	48.9%
90	Brice Garnett	0.3%	2.1%	4.9%	11.8%	52.7%
91	Paul Peterson	0.3%	2.1%	5.0%	11.8%	52.1%
92	Rafael Campos	0.3%	1.8%	3.9%	9.3%	45.7%
93	Adam Hadwin	0.3%	2.0%	4.4%	10.4%	49.3%
94	Trace Crowe	0.2%	1.9%	4.3%	10.0%	48.6%
95	Isaiah Salinda	0.2%	1.9%	4.3%	9.8%	46.8%
96	Chandler Blanchet	0.2%	1.8%	4.0%	9.0%	44.8%
97	Gordon Sargent	0.2%	1.7%	3.8%	8.9%	45.6%
98	Pontus Nyholm	0.2%	1.5%	3.5%	8.3%	43.4%
99	Nick Dunlap	0.2%	1.4%	3.1%	6.8%	38.3%
100	Luke List	0.2%	1.6%	3.7%	8.8%	45.8%
101	Lanto Griffin	0.2%	1.5%	3.7%	9.0%	47.7%
102	Jimmy Stanger	0.2%	1.5%	3.5%	8.3%	44.4%
103	Danny Walker	0.2%	1.3%	3.0%	7.0%	39.2%
104	Peter Malnati	0.2%	1.5%	3.6%	8.6%	45.2%
105	Adam Svensson	0.2%	1.3%	3.1%	7.7%	44.5%
106	John VanDerLaan	0.1%	1.3%	3.0%	7.3%	41.7%
107	Alejandro Tosti	0.1%	1.1%	2.5%	5.8%	36.0%
108	Henrik Norlander	0.1%	1.1%	2.8%	7.3%	44.6%
109	Vince Whaley	0.1%	1.2%	3.0%	7.9%	45.4%
110	Dylan Wu	0.1%	1.2%	3.2%	8.3%	46.8%
111	Adam Schenk	0.1%	1.1%	2.7%	6.6%	41.8%
112	Nick Hardy	0.1%	1.1%	2.8%	7.6%	46.3%
113	Patton Kizzire	0.1%	1.1%	2.7%	6.8%	42.0%
114	Jeffrey Kang	0.1%	0.9%	2.1%	5.5%	37.7%
115	Fabián Gómez	0.1%	0.9%	2.3%	6.1%	41.1%
116	Kensei Hirata	0.1%	0.8%	2.0%	5.1%	36.9%
117	Ryan Brehm	0.1%	0.5%	1.2%	3.4%	30.2%
118	Robert Streb	0.1%	0.5%	1.5%	4.2%	34.5%
119	Marcelo Rozo	0.1%	0.5%	1.2%	3.5%	31.5%
120	Cam Davis	0.1%	0.6%	1.3%	3.6%	31.4%
121	Jeremy Paul	0.0%	0.5%	1.2%	3.2%	30.0%
122	Christo Lamprecht	0.0%	0.3%	0.9%	2.2%	24.8%
123	Brendan Valdes	0.0%	0.2%	0.6%	1.9%	24.0%
124	Austin Duncan	0.0%	0.2%	0.6%	1.7%	23.3%
125	Tyler Watts	0.0%	0.2%	0.7%	2.2%	26.0%
126	Carson Bertagnole	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	0.9%	17.9%
127	Morgan DeNeen	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	1.0%	18.7%
128	Brendon Todd	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	1.1%	19.8%
129	Keller Harper	Player identity could not be resolved this week
130	Tyler Jones	Player identity could not be resolved this week
131	Spencer Oxendine	Player identity could not be resolved this week
132	Phillip Yribarren	Player identity could not be resolved this week