Predictium
Golf
← Players

Andrew Novak

True SG total
+0.85
the model's rating
Rounds in window
442

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds+0.98
86
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+0.54
72
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds+0.59
72
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+1.35
96
Scoring Consistency2.81
40
Rounds Above Tour Average62.0%
78
Strokes Gained, Round 1+0.98
79
Strokes Gained, Round 2−0.88
24
Strokes Gained, Round 3+1.21
79
Strokes Gained, Round 4+1.59
87
Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.01
55
Strokes Gained, Par 4s+0.31
79
Strokes Gained, Par 5s−0.12
42
Birdie-or-Better Rate22.2%
62
Bogey Avoidance Rate85.0%
65
Bounce-Back Rate31.1%
91
Double-or-Worse Rate1.4%
73
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.57
25
Strokes Gained, Back Nine+0.75
97
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.04
62
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.15
42

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 441 rounds.

−5.000.00+5.00arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2025, round 2 (Mar 6, 2025): −0.19arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2025, round 3 (Mar 6, 2025): +7.69arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2025, round 4 (Mar 6, 2025): −5.58the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): −4.09the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.00valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +3.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): +0.33valspar championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 20, 2025): +3.54valspar championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 20, 2025): −3.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.48texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.20valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): +4.21valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): +1.45valero texas open 2025, round 3 (Apr 3, 2025): +5.35valero texas open 2025, round 4 (Apr 3, 2025): −0.72rbc heritage 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): +2.15rbc heritage 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): +5.19rbc heritage 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): +3.96rbc heritage 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): +2.61truist championship 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): +1.66truist championship 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): −0.09truist championship 2025, round 3 (May 8, 2025): −1.03truist championship 2025, round 4 (May 8, 2025): +5.99pga championship 2025, round 1 (May 15, 2025): +2.86pga championship 2025, round 2 (May 15, 2025): −7.47charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): +3.66charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): +1.13charles schwab challenge 2025, round 3 (May 22, 2025): +3.51charles schwab challenge 2025, round 4 (May 22, 2025): +0.63the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 1 (May 29, 2025): +4.81the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 2 (May 29, 2025): −3.16the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 3 (May 29, 2025): −0.20the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 4 (May 29, 2025): −3.30u s open 2025, round 1 (Jun 12, 2025): −1.30u s open 2025, round 2 (Jun 12, 2025): +3.84u s open 2025, round 3 (Jun 12, 2025): +0.45u s open 2025, round 4 (Jun 12, 2025): +1.98travelers championship 2025, round 1 (Jun 19, 2025): −0.27travelers championship 2025, round 2 (Jun 19, 2025): +0.57travelers championship 2025, round 3 (Jun 19, 2025): −0.11travelers championship 2025, round 4 (Jun 19, 2025): +4.32genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): −1.88genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +7.07genesis scottish open 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): +3.19genesis scottish open 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.63the open 2025, round 1 (Jul 17, 2025): +2.31the open 2025, round 2 (Jul 17, 2025): −0.32the open 2025, round 3 (Jul 17, 2025): −3.18the open 2025, round 4 (Jul 17, 2025): −0.27wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): −2.32fedex st jude championship 2025, round 1 (Aug 7, 2025): +1.95fedex st jude championship 2025, round 2 (Aug 7, 2025): +5.63fedex st jude championship 2025, round 3 (Aug 7, 2025): +3.18fedex st jude championship 2025, round 4 (Aug 7, 2025): −0.82bmw championship 2025, round 1 (Aug 14, 2025): −0.27bmw championship 2025, round 2 (Aug 14, 2025): −5.47bmw championship 2025, round 3 (Aug 14, 2025): −5.23bmw championship 2025, round 4 (Aug 14, 2025): −3.25tour championship 2025, round 1 (Aug 21, 2025): −1.53tour championship 2025, round 2 (Aug 21, 2025): 0.00tour championship 2025, round 3 (Aug 21, 2025): +2.77tour championship 2025, round 4 (Aug 21, 2025): −1.16the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): +6.18the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +3.83the rsm classic 2025, round 3 (Nov 20, 2025): −0.99the rsm classic 2025, round 4 (Nov 20, 2025): −0.63hero world challenge 2025, round 1 (Dec 4, 2025): +2.09hero world challenge 2025, round 2 (Dec 4, 2025): −2.01hero world challenge 2025, round 3 (Dec 4, 2025): −2.81hero world challenge 2025, round 4 (Dec 4, 2025): −1.41the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +4.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): +0.94the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): −4.09farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +2.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): +2.29farmers insurance open 2026, round 3 (Jan 29, 2026): +2.33farmers insurance open 2026, round 4 (Jan 29, 2026): +5.06wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): −4.70wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): −2.29at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 1 (Feb 12, 2026): +4.80at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 2 (Feb 12, 2026): −4.87at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 3 (Feb 12, 2026): −0.25at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 4 (Feb 12, 2026): +2.60the genesis invitational 2026, round 1 (Feb 19, 2026): +1.76the genesis invitational 2026, round 2 (Feb 19, 2026): −0.70the genesis invitational 2026, round 3 (Feb 19, 2026): −3.17the genesis invitational 2026, round 4 (Feb 19, 2026): +0.40arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −1.32arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.23arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 3 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.15arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 4 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.33the players championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 12, 2026): −1.17the players championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 12, 2026): −1.92valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): −0.87valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): +2.07valspar championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 19, 2026): +0.57valspar championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 19, 2026): +0.21valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): +3.10valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): +1.63valero texas open 2026, round 3 (Apr 2, 2026): +0.01valero texas open 2026, round 4 (Apr 2, 2026): +3.00masters tournament 2026, round 1 (Apr 9, 2026): +0.23masters tournament 2026, round 2 (Apr 9, 2026): −2.58rbc heritage 2026, round 1 (Apr 16, 2026): +5.50rbc heritage 2026, round 2 (Apr 16, 2026): −0.86rbc heritage 2026, round 3 (Apr 16, 2026): +4.64rbc heritage 2026, round 4 (Apr 16, 2026): −3.00cadillac championship 2026, round 1 (Apr 30, 2026): +1.45cadillac championship 2026, round 2 (Apr 30, 2026): −6.16cadillac championship 2026, round 3 (Apr 30, 2026): +0.45cadillac championship 2026, round 4 (Apr 30, 2026): +0.92truist championship 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −1.63truist championship 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): +0.59truist championship 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): +3.55truist championship 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): +2.33pga championship 2026, round 1 (May 14, 2026): +3.31pga championship 2026, round 2 (May 14, 2026): +2.65pga championship 2026, round 3 (May 14, 2026): −0.23pga championship 2026, round 4 (May 14, 2026): +1.38charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): +0.11charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +4.86charles schwab challenge 2026, round 3 (May 28, 2026): −1.27charles schwab challenge 2026, round 4 (May 28, 2026): −1.90the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 1 (Jun 4, 2026): +2.98the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 2 (Jun 4, 2026): −3.95u s open 2026, round 1 (Jun 18, 2026): +0.38u s open 2026, round 2 (Jun 18, 2026): +0.35travelers championship 2026, round 1 (Jun 25, 2026): +1.89travelers championship 2026, round 2 (Jun 25, 2026): −3.96travelers championship 2026, round 3 (Jun 25, 2026): +1.42travelers championship 2026, round 4 (Jun 25, 2026): +5.46john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −2.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): −1.47genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +4.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): −1.08genesis scottish open 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): −3.23genesis scottish open 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): −0.33the open 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.32the open 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +1.59rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): −2.63rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): −4.60wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): +0.84wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): +1.46wyndham championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 6, 2026): +2.60wyndham championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 6, 2026): +6.36biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): +1.59biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.07biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 3 (Sep 17, 2026): +4.21biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 4 (Sep 17, 2026): +1.6824-round +0.54oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

+0.98
Round 1−0.88
Round 2+1.21
Round 3+1.59
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Biltmore Championship AshevilleT17−17+1.85
Wyndham ChampionshipT7−14+2.82
Rocket ClassicMC+6−3.62
The OpenMC+2+0.14
Genesis Scottish OpenT61+1−0.15
John Deere ClassicMC+1−1.77
Travelers ChampionshipT30−11+1.20
U.S. OpenMC+5+0.36
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+6−0.49
Charles Schwab ChallengeT54E+0.45
PGA ChampionshipT26E+1.78
Truist ChampionshipT24−4+1.21
Cadillac ChampionshipT65+2−0.84
RBC HeritageT16−9+1.57
Masters TournamentMC+7−1.17
Valero Texas OpenT14−10+1.93
Valspar ChampionshipT55+1+0.49
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+6−1.54
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardT38E+0.60
The Genesis InvitationalT47E−0.43
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT48−9+0.57
WM Phoenix OpenMC+7−3.50
Farmers Insurance OpenT7−14+2.97
The American ExpressMC−10+0.51
Hero World Challenge17−4−1.03
The RSM ClassicT7−18+2.10
TOUR ChampionshipT25−4+0.02
BMW Championship48+20−3.56
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT6−10+2.49
Wyndham ChampionshipMCE−0.79
The OpenT63+4−0.36
Genesis Scottish OpenT13−7+2.25
Travelers ChampionshipT31−4+1.13
U.S. OpenT42+12+1.24
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayT51+11−0.46
Charles Schwab ChallengeT11−6+2.23
PGA ChampionshipMC+8−2.30
Truist ChampionshipT17−7+1.63
RBC HeritageT1−17+3.48
Valero Texas OpenT3−5+2.57
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC−2+0.34
Valspar ChampionshipT42E+1.00
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+3−1.05
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardT34+2+0.85
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC−1−1.17
The Genesis InvitationalT13−4+1.97
WM Phoenix OpenMC−1+0.04
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT13−12+1.93
Farmers Insurance Open3−6+3.11
The American ExpressMC+5−3.88
Sony Open in HawaiiMC−2−0.02
The RSM ClassicT35−7+1.06
Butterfield Bermuda Championship2−16+2.86
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT16−10+1.48
Shriners Children's OpenMC−2+0.10
Black Desert ChampionshipMC−2−0.22
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT23−16+1.51
Wyndham ChampionshipT52−4+0.32
3M OpenT24−9+1.70
Genesis Scottish OpenT70−1−0.65
John Deere ClassicT7−21+3.07
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT20−11+1.57
RBC Canadian OpenT14−8+2.15
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+3−0.34
Myrtle Beach ClassicT54−4−0.26
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT30−14+1.04
Valero Texas OpenT58+1+0.37
Texas Children's Houston OpenT53−1+0.46
Valspar ChampionshipT17−4+1.68
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+4−1.55
Cognizant ClassicT9−12+2.28
Mexico Open at VidantaT8−12+1.91
WM Phoenix OpenT8−13+2.57
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−20.00
The American ExpressMCE−3.38
Sony Open in HawaiiMC+2−1.67
The RSM ClassicT73−5−1.04
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT45−11+0.33
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT51+5−0.45
Shriners Children's OpenMCE−1.16
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC+2−3.25
Fortinet ChampionshipMC−2+0.19
Wyndham ChampionshipT33−6+1.15
3M OpenMC−3+0.33
Barbasol ChampionshipT33−11+0.58
John Deere ClassicT42−9+0.62
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC−2−0.83
Travelers ChampionshipMC−1−0.32
RBC Canadian OpenT9−12+2.58
Charles Schwab ChallengeT40+1+1.01
AT&T Byron NelsonT67−9−0.02
Mexico OpenT49−5+0.13
Valero Texas Open9−9+2.46
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT46−4−0.08
Valspar ChampionshipT27E+1.09
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+10−3.19
Puerto Rico OpenT44−5−0.11
The Honda ClassicT29−3+1.03
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT20−8+1.67
Farmers Insurance OpenT69+8−0.81
The American ExpressMC+4−3.87
Sony Open in HawaiiT12−12+1.78
The RSM ClassicMC+1−1.79
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT17−12+1.34
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+3−1.70
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC+7−4.55
3M OpenT54E+0.03
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+10−2.52
John Deere ClassicT30−10+1.08
Travelers ChampionshipT46−4+0.65
U.S. OpenMC+7−1.07
RBC Canadian OpenT64+5−0.94
AT&T Byron NelsonT46−14+0.83
Wells Fargo ChampionshipMC+8−2.83
Mexico OpenT15−10+1.68
Valero Texas OpenMC+2−0.87
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT11−12+1.84
Valspar ChampionshipMC+1−1.05
Puerto Rico OpenT22−9+1.10
The Honda ClassicMC+5−0.91
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC+9−3.75
Farmers Insurance OpenT70+1−0.57
The American ExpressMC−6+0.40
Sony Open in HawaiiMC−4+0.15
The RSM ClassicT26−9+1.53
World Wide Technology Championship at MayakobaT22−12+1.48
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+1−0.96
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT58−7−0.32
Fortinet ChampionshipMCE−0.66
Shriners Hospitals for Children OpenMC−2−0.70
A Military Tribute at The GreenbrierT36−6+0.69
The Honda ClassicT57+8+0.26
The RSM ClassicMC+2−2.08

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:19Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

NFL
Tennis
WNBA
Soccer
Golf
CFB
NBA
World Cup
MLB
More
For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI