Research

Data-driven deep dives across everything we model — NBA, MLB, the World Cup, and more as we add sports.

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July 3, 2026

What Our RAPM Actually Says About Jaylen Brown

Brown called it 'AI hoops.' An ESPN source called him the seventh-best player on a team. Our model has 5,840 possessions of him this season — here's what they say about the trade that sent him to Philadelphia, with no narrative attached.

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March 28, 2026

Building a Prediction Model in Public: B1 to B13

Thirteen iterations, five seasons of data, and every mistake along the way. This is the honest story of how Predictium's NBA prediction model went from a basic ensemble to a 3-head architecture — and what we learned by getting it wrong first.

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