Predictium

Multi-Sport Probability Engine

Honest numbers.
Every market, every night.

Predictium ships walk-forward validated probability models across every sport and market we cover — sides, totals, props, brackets, and live in-game receipts. It’s all free right now, no gates — sign up free and you’ll be grandfathered into founder pricing when subscriptions launch.

Explore today’s predictionsSee the track record

55.3%

NBA ATS · 5 seasons

+21.4%

ROI at ≥5pt edge

4,128

Games backtested

5 min

Model refresh cadence

New — Bubble Watch free & weekly
A scored read on how stretched US markets are — and what AI is doing to them.
74Open →

Coverage

Simulation and Elo-driven predictions with props, market edges, and public receipts — with more sports on the way.

MLB

In season

At-bat Monte Carlo simulation — win probs, run lines, totals, F5 & a full player-prop EV board with outcome distributions.

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World Cup

In season

Elo + Poisson model — win/draw/win, live bracket odds, scorer props & model-vs-market edges, all graded in public.

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WNBA

In season

Possession-level simulation for totals, a stacked Elo+efficiency model for sides, and a full player-prop board that shows every abstention.

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Tennis

In season

Serve/return skills feeding an exact scoring simulator — win probs, fair odds & set scores for ATP, WTA & Challenger, vs the market's price.

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NFL

Offseason

Drive-by-drive simulation — spreads, totals, win probs & a full player prop EV board. Offseason team research live now.

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College Football

Offseason

Opponent-adjusted EPA ratings for all 136 FBS teams, our line vs the market's, and a walk-forward backtest published without spin.

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NBA

Offseason

Spreads, totals, props, RAPM & referee analytics — 5-season track record. Offseason moves graded live by RAPM.

Enter NBA →

Markets

Live · Weekly

Bubble Watch — a scored read on how stretched US markets are, and what AI is doing to them.

Enter Markets →

Today’s Top NBA Picks

Sorted by calibrated ROI edge. Full board on the Games page.

Model transparency

Why our models are different

Every sport ships its own walk-forward validated model, graded in public with no lookahead bias. The NBA model alone spans 5 seasons (2021–22 → 2025–26) and 204 engineered features — RAPM player ratings, referee crew tendencies, lineup disruption. The numbers below are its track record.

Full backtest results →How the model works →EV methodology →

59.1%

ATS ≥3pt edge

63.6%

ATS ≥5pt edge

+12.8%

ROI ≥3pt

+21.4%

ROI ≥5pt

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.