Predictium
Golf
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Alejandro Tosti

True SG total
−0.62
the model's rating
Rounds in window
202

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds−1.37
20
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds−0.94
22
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds−1.06
15
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+1.63Not ranked yet (50 rounds, below the minimum)Scoring Consistency2.93
29
Rounds Above Tour Average32.0%
12
Strokes Gained, Round 1−2.10
5
Strokes Gained, Round 2−0.66
31
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.25Not ranked yet (5 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.25Not ranked yet (5 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.24
27
Strokes Gained, Par 4s−0.38
37
Strokes Gained, Par 5s−0.38
17
Birdie-or-Better Rate23.8%
83
Bogey Avoidance Rate81.3%
26
Bounce-Back Rate26.3%
76
Double-or-Worse Rate3.2%
13
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.69
19
Strokes Gained, Back Nine−0.30
38
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.09
69
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.34
25

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 201 rounds.

−10.00−5.000.00+5.00pga championship 2024, round 1 (May 16, 2024): +3.28pga championship 2024, round 2 (May 16, 2024): +2.06pga championship 2024, round 3 (May 16, 2024): −8.72pga championship 2024, round 4 (May 16, 2024): +1.99charles schwab challenge 2024, round 1 (May 23, 2024): +2.33charles schwab challenge 2024, round 2 (May 23, 2024): +1.99charles schwab challenge 2024, round 3 (May 23, 2024): +3.04charles schwab challenge 2024, round 4 (May 23, 2024): −0.20rocket mortgage classic 2024, round 1 (Jun 27, 2024): −3.02john deere classic 2024, round 1 (Jul 4, 2024): −1.93john deere classic 2024, round 2 (Jul 4, 2024): −3.09isco championship 2024, round 1 (Jul 11, 2024): −3.88isco championship 2024, round 2 (Jul 11, 2024): +1.503m open 2024, round 1 (Jul 25, 2024): −7.573m open 2024, round 2 (Jul 25, 2024): −5.89wyndham championship 2024, round 1 (Aug 8, 2024): −1.05wyndham championship 2024, round 2 (Aug 8, 2024): −3.71procore championship 2024, round 1 (Sep 12, 2024): −3.51procore championship 2024, round 2 (Sep 12, 2024): −6.89sanderson farms championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 3, 2024): +1.14sanderson farms championship 2024, round 2 (Oct 3, 2024): −1.20black desert championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 10, 2024): −0.22black desert championship 2024, round 2 (Oct 10, 2024): +3.16black desert championship 2024, round 3 (Oct 10, 2024): +0.70black desert championship 2024, round 4 (Oct 10, 2024): −1.48shriners children s open 2024, round 1 (Oct 17, 2024): +3.02shriners children s open 2024, round 2 (Oct 17, 2024): +5.18shriners children s open 2024, round 3 (Oct 17, 2024): +1.80shriners children s open 2024, round 4 (Oct 17, 2024): +0.25world wide technology championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 7, 2024): −9.72world wide technology championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 7, 2024): +0.52butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 14, 2024): +0.54butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 14, 2024): −3.34the rsm classic 2024, round 1 (Nov 21, 2024): +0.63the rsm classic 2024, round 2 (Nov 21, 2024): −1.16pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 1 (Dec 12, 2024): +0.40pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 2 (Dec 12, 2024): −0.96pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 3 (Dec 12, 2024): +4.83pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 4 (Dec 12, 2024): +2.75sony open in hawaii 2025, round 1 (Jan 9, 2025): −3.90sony open in hawaii 2025, round 2 (Jan 9, 2025): +2.87the american express 2025, round 1 (Jan 16, 2025): +4.83the american express 2025, round 2 (Jan 16, 2025): −3.34the american express 2025, round 3 (Jan 16, 2025): +0.89the american express 2025, round 4 (Jan 16, 2025): 0.00farmers insurance open 2025, round 1 (Jan 22, 2025): +2.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 2 (Jan 22, 2025): −2.43mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 1 (Feb 20, 2025): +4.44mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 2 (Feb 20, 2025): +0.21mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 3 (Feb 20, 2025): +3.62mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 4 (Feb 20, 2025): −0.16cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 1 (Feb 27, 2025): −0.09cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): +2.76cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 3 (Feb 27, 2025): −5.67cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 4 (Feb 27, 2025): −4.05puerto rico open 2025, round 1 (Mar 6, 2025): −2.13puerto rico open 2025, round 2 (Mar 6, 2025): −3.42the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.91the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): −3.00valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): −2.18valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): −1.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): +5.48texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +1.20texas children s houston open 2025, round 3 (Mar 27, 2025): +3.53texas children s houston open 2025, round 4 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.79valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): +2.21valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): +0.45valero texas open 2025, round 3 (Apr 3, 2025): +3.35valero texas open 2025, round 4 (Apr 3, 2025): +2.28corales puntacana championship 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): +1.27corales puntacana championship 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): +4.07corales puntacana championship 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): −0.08corales puntacana championship 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): +5.14the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +0.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): +2.91the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 3 (May 1, 2025): −4.59the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 4 (May 1, 2025): −5.25oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): +4.87oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): −4.54oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 3 (May 8, 2025): −4.04oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 4 (May 8, 2025): +2.44charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): −1.34charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): −0.87rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): +3.74rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): −3.49rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): −1.81rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): −1.29john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): −3.33john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): +4.64genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): +2.12genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): −3.93pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 1 (Dec 11, 2025): +1.23pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 2 (Dec 11, 2025): +2.07pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 3 (Dec 11, 2025): +3.33pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 4 (Dec 11, 2025): +2.78sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): +0.08sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): −3.66the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): −9.32the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): +0.94the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): −5.09farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): −0.81farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): −3.71wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): −3.70wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): −4.29cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): −5.41cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): −6.53puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −0.15puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): −2.63valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): +4.07valspar championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 19, 2026): −2.43valspar championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 19, 2026): +2.21texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): −2.02texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): −0.80valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): −0.90valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): +0.63oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −2.56oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −1.97the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): −1.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): −0.79charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): −2.89charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): −0.14rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): +2.72rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): +1.26rbc canadian open 2026, round 3 (Jun 11, 2026): +1.93rbc canadian open 2026, round 4 (Jun 11, 2026): −1.53u s open 2026, round 1 (Jun 18, 2026): −4.62u s open 2026, round 2 (Jun 18, 2026): +2.35john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −4.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): −0.47isco championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +1.75isco championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +2.56isco championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.99isco championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): −1.86corales puntacana championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): −0.41corales puntacana championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +0.42corales puntacana championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 16, 2026): −0.73corales puntacana championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.983m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): −4.803m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): +0.08rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): −12.63rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): −0.60wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): −1.16wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): −0.54biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −2.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −1.07bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): +1.91bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): −1.12bank of utah championship 2026, round 3 (Oct 1, 2026): +1.51bank of utah championship 2026, round 4 (Oct 1, 2026): +4.3924-round −0.94oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

−2.10
Round 1−0.66
Round 2+0.25
Round 35 rounds, unranked+0.25
Round 45 rounds, unranked

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT13−18+1.67
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC+1−1.74
Wyndham ChampionshipMCE−0.85
Rocket ClassicMC+12−6.62
3M OpenMC+3−2.36
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT69−5−0.68
ISCO ChampionshipT30−9+0.86
John Deere ClassicMC+2−2.27
U.S. OpenMC+8−1.14
RBC Canadian OpenT40−6+1.10
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+2−1.51
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−3−0.89
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC+4−2.26
Valero Texas OpenMC−1−0.14
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC+2−1.41
Valspar ChampionshipT30−2+1.24
Puerto Rico OpenMC+1−1.39
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC+13−5.97
WM Phoenix OpenMC+8−4.00
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+3−2.26
The American ExpressMC+5−4.49
Sony Open in HawaiiMC+3−1.79
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry−12+2.35
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+2−0.90
John Deere ClassicMC−4+0.66
Rocket ClassicMC−2−1.55
RBC Canadian OpenMC−2+0.12
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+3−1.10
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicT54−2−0.32
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT67−1−1.55
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT2−13+2.60
Valero Texas OpenT12−3+2.07
Texas Children's Houston OpenT5−15+2.75
Valspar ChampionshipMC+7−1.93
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+1−0.05
Puerto Rico OpenMCE−2.78
Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches68+2−1.76
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldT10−14+2.03
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+3+0.04
The American ExpressT58−10+0.59
Sony Open in HawaiiMC−1−0.52
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry−4+1.76
The RSM ClassicMC+1−0.26
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMCE−1.40
World Wide Technology ChampionshipMC+7−4.60
Shriners Children's OpenT9−16+2.56
Black Desert ChampionshipT43−10+0.54
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC−5−0.03
Procore ChampionshipMC+9−5.20
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+3−2.38
3M OpenMC+13−6.73
ISCO ChampionshipMC−4−1.19
John Deere ClassicMC+1−2.51
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC+3−3.02
Charles Schwab ChallengeT17−2+1.79
PGA ChampionshipT73E−0.35
Myrtle Beach ClassicT63−1−1.01
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−5+0.33
RBC HeritageT33−7+0.87
Valero Texas OpenMC+10−3.79
Texas Children's Houston OpenT2−11+2.96
Valspar ChampionshipT75+10−1.82
Puerto Rico OpenMC−2−1.13
Cognizant ClassicMC+6−3.27
Mexico Open at VidantaMC−1−0.19
Farmers Insurance OpenT43−3+0.79
The American ExpressMC−8−0.71
Sony Open in HawaiiT70−3−0.26
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT47E+0.57
Mexico OpenT10−13+2.13
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT39−7+0.80
Puerto Rico OpenMC+3−2.48

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:24Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI