Predictium
Golf
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Austin Smotherman

True SG total
+0.74
the model's rating
Rounds in window
313

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds+1.86
97
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+0.42
68
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds+0.13
55
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+0.68
83
Scoring Consistency3.13
15
Rounds Above Tour Average56.0%
63
Strokes Gained, Round 1−0.03
53
Strokes Gained, Round 2−0.25
42
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.50
56
Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.59
54
Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.38
13
Strokes Gained, Par 4s+0.51
86
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.05
65
Birdie-or-Better Rate26.2%
96
Bogey Avoidance Rate86.6%
81
Bounce-Back Rate31.5%
92
Double-or-Worse Rate1.6%
63
Strokes Gained, Front Nine+0.06
66
Strokes Gained, Back Nine+0.13
68
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes−0.26
31
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.11
45

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 309 rounds.

−5.000.00+5.00+10.00fortinet championship 2023 401552854, round 1 (Sep 14, 2023): +0.26fortinet championship 2023 401552854, round 2 (Sep 14, 2023): −1.88sanderson farms championship 2023 401552855, round 1 (Oct 5, 2023): −0.19sanderson farms championship 2023 401552855, round 2 (Oct 5, 2023): −0.30shriners children s open 2023 401552856, round 1 (Oct 12, 2023): +0.88shriners children s open 2023 401552856, round 2 (Oct 12, 2023): +2.80shriners children s open 2023 401552856, round 3 (Oct 12, 2023): −1.02shriners children s open 2023 401552856, round 4 (Oct 12, 2023): +1.16world wide technology championship 2023, round 1 (Nov 2, 2023): +0.47world wide technology championship 2023, round 2 (Nov 2, 2023): +2.31world wide technology championship 2023, round 3 (Nov 2, 2023): −1.78world wide technology championship 2023, round 4 (Nov 2, 2023): +3.33butterfield bermuda championship 2023 401552859, round 1 (Nov 9, 2023): +4.16butterfield bermuda championship 2023 401552859, round 2 (Nov 9, 2023): +0.46butterfield bermuda championship 2023 401552859, round 3 (Nov 9, 2023): −0.05butterfield bermuda championship 2023 401552859, round 4 (Nov 9, 2023): −5.24the rsm classic 2023 401552860, round 1 (Nov 16, 2023): −0.10the rsm classic 2023 401552860, round 2 (Nov 16, 2023): +2.97the rsm classic 2023 401552860, round 3 (Nov 16, 2023): −1.18the rsm classic 2023 401552860, round 4 (Nov 16, 2023): −0.86pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 1 (Dec 14, 2023): +0.11pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 2 (Dec 14, 2023): −3.92pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 3 (Dec 14, 2023): +1.22mexico open at vidanta 2024, round 1 (Feb 22, 2024): −0.56mexico open at vidanta 2024, round 2 (Feb 22, 2024): +3.17mexico open at vidanta 2024, round 3 (Feb 22, 2024): −3.84mexico open at vidanta 2024, round 4 (Feb 22, 2024): +0.85puerto rico open 2024, round 1 (Mar 7, 2024): +1.04puerto rico open 2024, round 2 (Mar 7, 2024): −0.31puerto rico open 2024, round 3 (Mar 7, 2024): −3.42puerto rico open 2024, round 4 (Mar 7, 2024): −1.92corales puntacana championship 2024, round 1 (Apr 18, 2024): +1.43corales puntacana championship 2024, round 2 (Apr 18, 2024): +0.13corales puntacana championship 2024, round 3 (Apr 18, 2024): −1.46corales puntacana championship 2024, round 4 (Apr 18, 2024): −0.23the cj cup byron nelson 2024, round 1 (May 2, 2024): +0.95the cj cup byron nelson 2024, round 2 (May 2, 2024): −1.29myrtle beach classic 2024, round 1 (May 9, 2024): +2.13myrtle beach classic 2024, round 2 (May 9, 2024): −1.33myrtle beach classic 2024, round 3 (May 9, 2024): −2.53myrtle beach classic 2024, round 4 (May 9, 2024): −6.29charles schwab challenge 2024, round 1 (May 23, 2024): −0.67charles schwab challenge 2024, round 2 (May 23, 2024): +1.99charles schwab challenge 2024, round 3 (May 23, 2024): −1.96charles schwab challenge 2024, round 4 (May 23, 2024): −1.20john deere classic 2024, round 1 (Jul 4, 2024): +2.07john deere classic 2024, round 2 (Jul 4, 2024): +1.91john deere classic 2024, round 3 (Jul 4, 2024): −0.95john deere classic 2024, round 4 (Jul 4, 2024): −3.73isco championship 2024, round 1 (Jul 11, 2024): +2.12isco championship 2024, round 2 (Jul 11, 2024): +0.50isco championship 2024, round 3 (Jul 11, 2024): +3.42isco championship 2024, round 4 (Jul 11, 2024): −0.343m open 2024, round 1 (Jul 25, 2024): −0.573m open 2024, round 2 (Jul 25, 2024): +3.113m open 2024, round 3 (Jul 25, 2024): −0.993m open 2024, round 4 (Jul 25, 2024): +0.24procore championship 2024, round 1 (Sep 12, 2024): +2.49procore championship 2024, round 2 (Sep 12, 2024): +0.11procore championship 2024, round 3 (Sep 12, 2024): +4.13procore championship 2024, round 4 (Sep 12, 2024): +2.86sanderson farms championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 3, 2024): −0.86sanderson farms championship 2024, round 2 (Oct 3, 2024): +1.80sanderson farms championship 2024, round 3 (Oct 3, 2024): −0.20sanderson farms championship 2024, round 4 (Oct 3, 2024): +1.31black desert championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 10, 2024): −0.22world wide technology championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 7, 2024): +1.28world wide technology championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 7, 2024): −2.48butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 14, 2024): −1.46butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 14, 2024): +1.66butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 3 (Nov 14, 2024): +0.44butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 4 (Nov 14, 2024): −1.20the rsm classic 2024, round 1 (Nov 21, 2024): +1.63the rsm classic 2024, round 2 (Nov 21, 2024): +2.84the rsm classic 2024, round 3 (Nov 21, 2024): −0.58the rsm classic 2024, round 4 (Nov 21, 2024): −0.65pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 1 (Dec 12, 2024): +3.40pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 2 (Dec 12, 2024): −1.96pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 3 (Dec 12, 2024): −1.17pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2024, round 4 (Dec 12, 2024): +2.75sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): −1.92sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): +1.34the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +2.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): +3.94the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): +1.91the american express 2026, round 4 (Jan 22, 2026): +2.01farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +1.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): −1.71wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): +1.30wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): −5.29cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): +9.59cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): +2.47cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 3 (Feb 26, 2026): +0.26cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 4 (Feb 26, 2026): +1.14arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −1.32arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +2.23the players championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 12, 2026): +6.83the players championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 12, 2026): +1.08the players championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 12, 2026): +2.33the players championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 12, 2026): +0.54valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): −6.93valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): +3.10valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): −1.37valero texas open 2026, round 3 (Apr 2, 2026): +3.01valero texas open 2026, round 4 (Apr 2, 2026): −1.00rbc heritage 2026, round 1 (Apr 16, 2026): −3.50rbc heritage 2026, round 2 (Apr 16, 2026): −2.86rbc heritage 2026, round 3 (Apr 16, 2026): +0.64rbc heritage 2026, round 4 (Apr 16, 2026): +1.00cadillac championship 2026, round 1 (Apr 30, 2026): −4.55cadillac championship 2026, round 2 (Apr 30, 2026): +2.84cadillac championship 2026, round 3 (Apr 30, 2026): −3.55cadillac championship 2026, round 4 (Apr 30, 2026): +3.92truist championship 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −1.63truist championship 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): +2.59truist championship 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): −0.45truist championship 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): +5.33pga championship 2026, round 1 (May 14, 2026): +0.31pga championship 2026, round 2 (May 14, 2026): −2.35charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): +1.11charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +1.86charles schwab challenge 2026, round 3 (May 28, 2026): +0.73charles schwab challenge 2026, round 4 (May 28, 2026): −0.90rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): −2.28rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): +0.26john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): +3.92john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): +0.53john deere classic 2026, round 3 (Jul 2, 2026): −0.62john deere classic 2026, round 4 (Jul 2, 2026): −3.00genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): −3.97genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): −2.083m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): +2.203m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): +3.083m open 2026, round 3 (Jul 23, 2026): −0.113m open 2026, round 4 (Jul 23, 2026): +1.07rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): −7.63rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): −5.60wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): +2.84wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): −1.54wyndham championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 6, 2026): +2.60wyndham championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 6, 2026): −3.64biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): +3.59biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): +1.93biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 3 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.79biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 4 (Sep 17, 2026): +2.68bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): +4.91bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): +5.88bank of utah championship 2026, round 3 (Oct 1, 2026): +3.51bank of utah championship 2026, round 4 (Oct 1, 2026): +0.3924-round +0.42oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

−0.03
Round 1−0.25
Round 2+0.50
Round 3+0.59
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah Championship1−26+3.67
Biltmore Championship AshevilleT17−17+1.85
Wyndham ChampionshipT67−3+0.07
Rocket ClassicMC+12−6.62
3M OpenT24−13+1.56
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+6−3.03
John Deere ClassicT58−7+0.21
RBC Canadian OpenMC+1−1.01
Charles Schwab ChallengeT42−1+0.70
PGA ChampionshipMC+7−1.02
Truist ChampionshipT19−5+1.46
Cadillac ChampionshipT60E−0.34
RBC HeritageT74+2−1.18
Valero Texas OpenT36−6+0.93
Valspar ChampionshipMC+8−2.90
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT13−6+2.70
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard+3+0.45
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesT2−15+3.37
WM Phoenix OpenMC+4−2.00
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−1−0.26
The American ExpressT8−21+2.64
Sony Open in HawaiiMCE−0.29
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn FerryE+0.76
The RSM ClassicT42−6+0.81
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT55−4−0.14
World Wide Technology ChampionshipMC−1−0.60
Black Desert ChampionshipMC−2−0.22
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT42−12+0.51
Procore ChampionshipT7−12+2.40
3M OpenT53−4+0.45
ISCO ChampionshipT21−16+1.43
John Deere ClassicT61−8−0.18
Charles Schwab ChallengeT65+7−0.46
Myrtle Beach Classic70+3−2.01
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−4−0.17
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT50−6−0.04
Puerto Rico OpenT68−4−1.15
Mexico Open at VidantaT52−4−0.09
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry+8−0.86
The RSM ClassicT53−10+0.21
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT59−9−0.17
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT23−17+1.08
Shriners Children's OpenT35−11+0.95
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC−4−0.25
Fortinet ChampionshipMCE−0.81
Wyndham ChampionshipT27−7+1.40
3M OpenMC+9−5.67
Barbasol ChampionshipMC−2−0.48
John Deere ClassicT51−8+0.37
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC−3−0.33
Travelers ChampionshipMCE−0.82
RBC Canadian OpenT50−3+0.33
Charles Schwab ChallengeT21−1+1.51
AT&T Byron NelsonMC−1−1.04
Wells Fargo ChampionshipMC+5−1.82
Mexico OpenT5−16+2.88
RBC HeritageT67+1−0.49
Valero Texas OpenMC+3−1.14
Valspar ChampionshipT36+1+0.84
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT35−4+1.69
The Genesis InvitationalMC+3−0.57
WM Phoenix OpenMC+6−2.09
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC+12−4.10
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+1+0.32
Sony Open in HawaiiT67−3−0.47
The RSM ClassicMC+2−2.29
Cadence Bank Houston OpenMC+11−9.32
World Wide Technology Championship at MayakobaMC−2−0.39
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT23−11+1.09
Shriners Children's OpenT60−9+0.23
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT67−3−0.20
Fortinet ChampionshipT25−7+1.38
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+1−0.70
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT69−5−0.40
3M OpenT24−6+1.53
Barbasol ChampionshipT54−9−0.14
John Deere ClassicMC−1−0.51
Travelers ChampionshipMC+1−0.83
RBC Canadian OpenT44−2+0.81
Charles Schwab ChallengeT63+6−0.16
AT&T Byron NelsonT25−17+1.58
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT25+1+1.75
Mexico OpenT67E−0.82
Valero Texas OpenT61E−0.03
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipMC+6−3.53
Valspar ChampionshipT25−8+1.57
Puerto Rico OpenT55−3−0.40
The Honda ClassicMC+6−1.41
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT33−7+1.16
Farmers Insurance OpenT11−12+2.68
The American ExpressMC+4−2.93
Sony Open in HawaiiMC−1−1.35
The RSM ClassicT40−6+0.78
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+1−0.96
Fortinet ChampionshipT66−1−0.66
AT&T Byron NelsonMC+8−2.97

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:18Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI