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Keita Nakajima

True SG total
+0.50
the model's rating
Rounds in window
102

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds+0.70
81
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+1.22
89
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds+0.65
74
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+0.41
75
Scoring Consistency2.47
74
Rounds Above Tour Average60.0%
74
Strokes Gained, Round 1+0.70
70
Strokes Gained, Round 2+0.28
60
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.84
68
Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.98
67
Strokes Gained, Par 3s+0.14
75
Strokes Gained, Par 4s+0.81
96
Strokes Gained, Par 5s−0.06
48
Birdie-or-Better Rate22.9%
72
Bogey Avoidance Rate87.3%
85
Bounce-Back Rate26.0%
75
Double-or-Worse Rate1.2%
82
Strokes Gained, Front Nine+0.58
92
Strokes Gained, Back Nine+0.31
78
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.12
73
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.04
55

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure.

−5.00−2.500.00+2.50+5.00zozo championship 2022, round 1 (Oct 21, 2021): −2.53zozo championship 2022, round 2 (Oct 21, 2021): +1.89zozo championship 2022, round 3 (Oct 21, 2021): +1.24zozo championship 2022, round 4 (Oct 21, 2021): +1.93sony open in hawaii 2022, round 1 (Jan 13, 2022): +1.04sony open in hawaii 2022, round 2 (Jan 13, 2022): +4.26sony open in hawaii 2022, round 3 (Jan 13, 2022): −3.15sony open in hawaii 2022, round 4 (Jan 13, 2022): +0.33masters tournament 2022, round 1 (Apr 7, 2022): +2.35masters tournament 2022, round 2 (Apr 7, 2022): −3.88u s open 2022, round 1 (Jun 16, 2022): −0.18u s open 2022, round 2 (Jun 16, 2022): −2.96the open 2022, round 1 (Jul 14, 2022): +0.88the open 2022, round 2 (Jul 14, 2022): −3.10zozo championship 2023, round 1 (Oct 13, 2022): +0.80zozo championship 2023, round 2 (Oct 13, 2022): +5.80zozo championship 2023, round 3 (Oct 13, 2022): −0.38zozo championship 2023, round 4 (Oct 13, 2022): +0.67sony open in hawaii 2023, round 1 (Jan 12, 2023): −0.57sony open in hawaii 2023, round 2 (Jan 12, 2023): +2.16sony open in hawaii 2023, round 3 (Jan 12, 2023): +2.00sony open in hawaii 2023, round 4 (Jan 12, 2023): −2.47farmers insurance open 2023, round 1 (Jan 25, 2023): +2.05farmers insurance open 2023, round 2 (Jan 25, 2023): −3.40the genesis invitational 2023, round 1 (Feb 16, 2023): −2.49the genesis invitational 2023, round 2 (Feb 16, 2023): +2.34the open 2023, round 1 (Jul 20, 2023): +1.38the open 2023, round 2 (Jul 20, 2023): −2.42zozo championship 2023 401552857, round 1 (Oct 19, 2023): −3.06zozo championship 2023 401552857, round 2 (Oct 19, 2023): −2.25zozo championship 2023 401552857, round 3 (Oct 19, 2023): +4.24zozo championship 2023 401552857, round 4 (Oct 19, 2023): −0.72pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 1 (Dec 14, 2023): +2.11pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 2 (Dec 14, 2023): +3.08pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 3 (Dec 14, 2023): −5.78pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2023, round 4 (Dec 14, 2023): +0.31pga championship 2024, round 1 (May 16, 2024): +0.28pga championship 2024, round 2 (May 16, 2024): −3.94genesis scottish open 2024, round 1 (Jul 11, 2024): −4.07genesis scottish open 2024, round 2 (Jul 11, 2024): +1.20the open 2024, round 1 (Jul 18, 2024): −5.34the open 2024, round 2 (Jul 18, 2024): −4.41pga championship 2025, round 1 (May 15, 2025): −3.14pga championship 2025, round 2 (May 15, 2025): +1.53genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): −2.88genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +5.07genesis scottish open 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.19genesis scottish open 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): −0.37baycurrent classic 2025, round 1 (Oct 9, 2025): −0.66baycurrent classic 2025, round 2 (Oct 9, 2025): +2.28baycurrent classic 2025, round 3 (Oct 9, 2025): −2.28baycurrent classic 2025, round 4 (Oct 9, 2025): +2.01sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): −1.92sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): −2.66the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +3.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): −2.06the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): −0.09farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +2.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): +0.29farmers insurance open 2026, round 3 (Jan 29, 2026): −3.67farmers insurance open 2026, round 4 (Jan 29, 2026): +0.06wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): −0.70wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): +2.71wm phoenix open 2026, round 3 (Feb 5, 2026): −0.55wm phoenix open 2026, round 4 (Feb 5, 2026): −5.70cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): −1.41oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): +5.44oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −0.97oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): +3.67oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): −1.03the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): −1.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): −0.79charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): +0.11charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +3.86charles schwab challenge 2026, round 3 (May 28, 2026): +0.73charles schwab challenge 2026, round 4 (May 28, 2026): +1.10rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): −2.28rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): +4.26rbc canadian open 2026, round 3 (Jun 11, 2026): −0.07rbc canadian open 2026, round 4 (Jun 11, 2026): +5.47john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −0.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): +0.53john deere classic 2026, round 3 (Jul 2, 2026): +1.38john deere classic 2026, round 4 (Jul 2, 2026): +1.00genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.92genesis scottish open 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): +2.77genesis scottish open 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.67the open 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.32the open 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +0.593m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): +3.203m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): −2.92rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): +0.37rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): +2.40rocket classic 2026, round 3 (Jul 30, 2026): +2.88rocket classic 2026, round 4 (Jul 30, 2026): +2.61biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): +0.59biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −1.07baycurrent classic 2026, round 1 (Oct 8, 2026): +1.28baycurrent classic 2026, round 2 (Oct 8, 2026): −3.90baycurrent classic 2026, round 3 (Oct 8, 2026): +1.35baycurrent classic 2026, round 4 (Oct 8, 2026): +1.6424-round +1.22oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

+0.70
Round 1+0.28
Round 2+0.84
Round 3+0.98
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Baycurrent ClassicT50−4+0.09
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC−2−0.24
Rocket ClassicT20−10+2.06
3M OpenMC−2+0.14
The OpenMC+3−0.36
Genesis Scottish OpenT3−13+3.35
John Deere ClassicT46−9+0.71
RBC Canadian OpenT20−9+1.85
Charles Schwab ChallengeT28−4+1.45
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−3−0.89
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicT13−11+1.78
Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches+2−1.41
WM Phoenix Open71+3−1.06
Farmers Insurance Open64−1−0.28
The American ExpressMC−10+0.51
Sony Open in HawaiiMC+4−2.29
Baycurrent ClassicT40−4+0.34
Genesis Scottish OpenT55E+0.50
PGA ChampionshipMC+5−0.80
The OpenMC+17−4.87
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+1−1.43
PGA ChampionshipMC+4−1.83
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn FerryE−0.07
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT51+5−0.45
The OpenMC+6−0.52
The Genesis InvitationalMC+2−0.07
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+3−0.68
Sony Open in HawaiiT54−6+0.28
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT12−9+1.72
The OpenMC+3−1.11
U.S. OpenMC+8−1.57
Masters TournamentMC+7−0.77
Sony Open in Hawaii41−10+0.62
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT28E+0.63

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:27Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI