Baycurrent Classic

2026-10-08–2026-10-11

Final72 players

Simulated score distribution (100,000 runs)

Winning totalp10 -25 · p25 -23 · p50 -20 · p75 -17 · p90 -14

⚠ Pre-tournament projections, not updated for play so far (form through Aug 6, 2026). This event has finished, so the numbers below no longer describe what is left to happen. They are what the model said beforehand, kept on the page rather than withdrawn.

#	Player	Win Gated	Top 5 Gated	Top 10 Gated	Top 20 Gated	Make Cut Ungated
1	Collin Morikawa	5.8%	24.9%	40.6%	62.6%	100.0%
2	Hideki Matsuyama	5.5%	24.1%	39.8%	62.1%	100.0%
3	Xander Schauffele	5.1%	22.5%	37.7%	59.7%	100.0%
4	Wyndham Clark	4.8%	21.1%	35.4%	56.6%	100.0%
5	Michael Thorbjornsen	3.8%	16.2%	27.6%	46.2%	100.0%
6	Justin Thomas	3.7%	17.6%	30.9%	51.8%	100.0%
7	Rickie Fowler	3.2%	15.6%	27.8%	48.1%	100.0%
8	Matt Wallace	2.9%	15.0%	27.4%	48.0%	100.0%
9	Kurt Kitayama	2.8%	14.2%	26.0%	46.0%	100.0%
10	Ryan Gerard	2.8%	14.4%	26.6%	47.4%	100.0%
11	Ben Kohles	2.5%	13.6%	25.3%	45.5%	100.0%
12	Beau Hossler	2.4%	12.6%	23.2%	42.1%	100.0%
13	Maverick McNealy	2.3%	13.0%	24.9%	45.4%	100.0%
14	Doug Ghim	2.3%	13.5%	25.9%	47.8%	100.0%
15	Alex Smalley	2.1%	12.0%	23.0%	42.9%	100.0%
16	Davis Thompson	2.0%	12.4%	24.4%	45.7%	100.0%
17	Kevin Yu	2.0%	12.4%	23.7%	44.1%	100.0%
18	Keegan Bradley	2.0%	12.1%	23.4%	44.0%	100.0%
19	Keith Mitchell	2.0%	11.4%	21.9%	41.1%	100.0%
20	Michael Kim	1.9%	10.8%	20.6%	38.5%	100.0%
21	Min Woo Lee	1.9%	11.2%	21.4%	40.6%	100.0%
22	Jacob Bridgeman	1.8%	11.2%	21.9%	41.7%	100.0%
23	Michael Brennan	1.8%	10.6%	20.7%	39.6%	100.0%
24	Brian Harman	1.7%	10.5%	20.5%	39.4%	100.0%
25	Adam Scott	1.7%	10.8%	21.5%	41.2%	100.0%
26	Max Homa	1.6%	9.1%	17.8%	34.6%	100.0%
27	Jackson Suber	1.6%	8.7%	16.8%	32.6%	100.0%
28	Sungjae Im	1.5%	10.1%	20.3%	39.5%	100.0%
29	Billy Horschel	1.4%	8.9%	17.8%	35.2%	100.0%
30	Nico Echavarria	1.4%	8.0%	16.1%	31.9%	100.0%
31	Mac Meissner	1.3%	8.5%	18.2%	37.3%	100.0%
32	Sahith Theegala	1.3%	7.9%	16.1%	32.3%	100.0%
33	Jordan Spieth	1.2%	7.7%	15.8%	32.4%	100.0%
34	Jordan Smith	1.0%	7.4%	16.0%	33.4%	100.0%
35	Chandler Phillips	1.0%	6.5%	14.2%	30.6%	100.0%
36	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.9%	7.3%	16.5%	36.0%	100.0%
37	Kevin Roy	0.9%	6.3%	13.8%	29.9%	100.0%
38	Denny McCarthy	0.8%	7.0%	15.8%	34.4%	100.0%
39	Matt McCarty	0.8%	5.7%	12.2%	26.4%	100.0%
40	Kristoffer Ventura	0.8%	6.2%	13.6%	29.6%	100.0%
41	Nick Taylor	0.8%	6.0%	13.5%	30.0%	100.0%
42	Zach Bauchou	0.8%	5.4%	11.8%	25.6%	100.0%
43	Keita Nakajima	0.8%	5.5%	12.1%	26.5%	100.0%
44	Ryo Hisatsune	0.8%	5.5%	12.1%	27.2%	100.0%
45	Lee Hodges	0.8%	5.6%	12.4%	27.4%	100.0%
46	Max Greyserman	0.7%	4.9%	10.7%	23.8%	100.0%
47	Stephan Jaeger	0.6%	4.8%	10.9%	25.0%	100.0%
48	Ricky Castillo	0.6%	5.2%	11.8%	27.1%	100.0%
49	Andrew Putnam	0.6%	4.7%	11.1%	26.1%	100.0%
50	Tom Hoge	0.6%	4.7%	10.7%	24.3%	100.0%
51	Pierceson Coody	0.6%	4.3%	9.5%	21.7%	100.0%
52	Johnny Keefer	0.5%	4.1%	9.3%	21.8%	100.0%
53	Taylor Moore	0.5%	3.8%	8.8%	21.2%	100.0%
54	John Parry	0.4%	3.7%	8.8%	21.4%	100.0%
55	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	0.4%	3.6%	8.4%	20.4%	100.0%
56	Taylor Pendrith	0.4%	3.8%	8.9%	21.4%	100.0%
57	Tony Finau	0.4%	3.4%	8.3%	20.5%	100.0%
58	Aldrich Potgieter	0.4%	2.7%	6.1%	14.8%	100.0%
59	David Lipsky	0.3%	2.6%	6.3%	16.2%	100.0%
60	Steven Fisk	0.3%	2.4%	6.1%	16.2%	100.0%
61	Takumi Kanaya	0.2%	2.5%	6.4%	17.3%	100.0%
62	Patrick Rodgers	0.2%	1.8%	4.8%	13.6%	100.0%
63	Hiroshi Iwata	0.1%	0.4%	1.2%	4.0%	100.0%
64	Ren Yonezawa	0.0%	0.4%	1.3%	4.4%	100.0%
65	Jinichiro Kozuma	0.0%	0.2%	0.8%	2.9%	100.0%
66	Yoshinori Fujimoto	0.0%	0.2%	0.6%	2.5%	100.0%
67	Aguri Iwasaki	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	1.1%	100.0%
68	Sanghee Lee	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	1.2%	100.0%
69	Tomohiro Ishizaka	Player identity could not be resolved this week
70	Yusaku Hosono	Player identity could not be resolved this week
71	Kosuke Sunagawa	Player identity could not be resolved this week
72	Koshin Nagasaki	Player identity could not be resolved this week

Past winners (model era)

2025