Predictium
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Nico Echavarria

True SG total
+0.39
the model's rating
Rounds in window
347

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds−0.85
32
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+0.27
64
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds+0.58
71
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+0.37
74
Scoring Consistency2.74
48
Rounds Above Tour Average66.0%
86
Strokes Gained, Round 1+0.78
73
Strokes Gained, Round 2+0.05
54
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.92
71
Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.65
58
Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.15
38
Strokes Gained, Par 4s+0.30
78
Strokes Gained, Par 5s−0.48
9
Birdie-or-Better Rate19.0%
30
Bogey Avoidance Rate84.7%
63
Bounce-Back Rate15.0%
13
Double-or-Worse Rate1.9%
52
Strokes Gained, Front Nine+0.11
69
Strokes Gained, Back Nine−0.44
29
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.27
88
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.34
25

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 346 rounds.

−10.00−5.000.00+5.00valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): +0.33valspar championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 20, 2025): +5.54valspar championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 20, 2025): −2.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): +1.48texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +5.20texas children s houston open 2025, round 3 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.53texas children s houston open 2025, round 4 (Mar 27, 2025): −3.21masters tournament 2025, round 1 (Apr 10, 2025): +1.25masters tournament 2025, round 2 (Apr 10, 2025): +3.34masters tournament 2025, round 3 (Apr 10, 2025): +4.39masters tournament 2025, round 4 (Apr 10, 2025): −10.91the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +0.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): +3.91the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 3 (May 1, 2025): +3.41the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 4 (May 1, 2025): −1.25pga championship 2025, round 1 (May 15, 2025): +4.86pga championship 2025, round 2 (May 15, 2025): −1.47pga championship 2025, round 3 (May 15, 2025): +2.29pga championship 2025, round 4 (May 15, 2025): −0.07charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): +0.66charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): +0.13charles schwab challenge 2025, round 3 (May 22, 2025): +1.51charles schwab challenge 2025, round 4 (May 22, 2025): −1.37u s open 2025, round 1 (Jun 12, 2025): −3.30u s open 2025, round 2 (Jun 12, 2025): −0.16rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): +3.19rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): +2.71rocket classic 2025, round 3 (Jun 26, 2025): +1.52rocket classic 2025, round 4 (Jun 26, 2025): +4.12john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): −2.33john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): −2.36genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): +6.12genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): −1.93genesis scottish open 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): −0.81genesis scottish open 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): +3.63the open 2025, round 1 (Jul 17, 2025): +1.31the open 2025, round 2 (Jul 17, 2025): −2.32wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +5.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): +1.68wyndham championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 31, 2025): +6.54wyndham championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 31, 2025): −5.21fedex st jude championship 2025, round 1 (Aug 7, 2025): −2.05fedex st jude championship 2025, round 2 (Aug 7, 2025): −0.37fedex st jude championship 2025, round 3 (Aug 7, 2025): +1.18fedex st jude championship 2025, round 4 (Aug 7, 2025): +4.18procore championship 2025, round 1 (Sep 11, 2025): −2.10procore championship 2025, round 2 (Sep 11, 2025): −0.84baycurrent classic 2025, round 1 (Oct 9, 2025): +2.34baycurrent classic 2025, round 2 (Oct 9, 2025): +4.28baycurrent classic 2025, round 3 (Oct 9, 2025): +2.72baycurrent classic 2025, round 4 (Oct 9, 2025): +1.01world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): +0.54world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): +0.75world wide technology championship 2025, round 3 (Nov 6, 2025): +2.21world wide technology championship 2025, round 4 (Nov 6, 2025): +5.10butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): +2.76butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): +0.64butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 3 (Nov 13, 2025): −5.20butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 4 (Nov 13, 2025): +2.22the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): +3.18the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +1.83the rsm classic 2025, round 3 (Nov 20, 2025): +2.01the rsm classic 2025, round 4 (Nov 20, 2025): +2.37sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): −5.92sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): −1.66the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +1.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): +5.94the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): −11.09wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): −1.70wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): −2.29at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 1 (Feb 12, 2026): +0.80at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 2 (Feb 12, 2026): +1.13at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 3 (Feb 12, 2026): +5.75at t pebble beach pro am 2026, round 4 (Feb 12, 2026): +3.60the genesis invitational 2026, round 1 (Feb 19, 2026): −2.24the genesis invitational 2026, round 2 (Feb 19, 2026): +1.30cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): +8.59cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): −0.53cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 3 (Feb 26, 2026): +3.26cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 4 (Feb 26, 2026): +4.14arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): +0.68arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): −0.77arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 3 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.15arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2026, round 4 (Mar 5, 2026): −0.67the players championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 12, 2026): −0.17the players championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 12, 2026): +2.08the players championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 12, 2026): +0.33the players championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 12, 2026): −3.46texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): −2.02texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): +0.20masters tournament 2026, round 1 (Apr 9, 2026): −3.77masters tournament 2026, round 2 (Apr 9, 2026): −4.58rbc heritage 2026, round 1 (Apr 16, 2026): −4.50rbc heritage 2026, round 2 (Apr 16, 2026): +0.14rbc heritage 2026, round 3 (Apr 16, 2026): +1.64rbc heritage 2026, round 4 (Apr 16, 2026): −6.00cadillac championship 2026, round 1 (Apr 30, 2026): +5.45cadillac championship 2026, round 2 (Apr 30, 2026): −1.16cadillac championship 2026, round 3 (Apr 30, 2026): −6.55cadillac championship 2026, round 4 (Apr 30, 2026): +1.92truist championship 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −1.63truist championship 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): +4.59truist championship 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): +0.55truist championship 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): +0.33pga championship 2026, round 1 (May 14, 2026): −2.69pga championship 2026, round 2 (May 14, 2026): −2.35charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): +3.11charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): −1.14charles schwab challenge 2026, round 3 (May 28, 2026): +6.73charles schwab challenge 2026, round 4 (May 28, 2026): +3.10the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 1 (Jun 4, 2026): +0.98the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 2 (Jun 4, 2026): +0.05the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 3 (Jun 4, 2026): −1.73the memorial tournament pres by workday 2026, round 4 (Jun 4, 2026): +0.97u s open 2026, round 1 (Jun 18, 2026): +2.38u s open 2026, round 2 (Jun 18, 2026): −0.65u s open 2026, round 3 (Jun 18, 2026): −0.62u s open 2026, round 4 (Jun 18, 2026): +1.15travelers championship 2026, round 1 (Jun 25, 2026): +4.89travelers championship 2026, round 2 (Jun 25, 2026): −0.96travelers championship 2026, round 3 (Jun 25, 2026): +0.42travelers championship 2026, round 4 (Jun 25, 2026): +0.46genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +2.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): −0.08genesis scottish open 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.77genesis scottish open 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): +1.67the open 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): +0.68the open 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +3.59the open 2026, round 3 (Jul 16, 2026): +2.01the open 2026, round 4 (Jul 16, 2026): −5.65rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): −2.63rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): +1.40wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): +0.84wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): +0.46wyndham championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 6, 2026): +7.60wyndham championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 6, 2026): +1.36fedex st jude championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 13, 2026): +2.53fedex st jude championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 13, 2026): +4.52fedex st jude championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 13, 2026): −0.32fedex st jude championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 13, 2026): +1.53bmw championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 20, 2026): +0.59bmw championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 20, 2026): −4.77bmw championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 20, 2026): −2.65bmw championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 20, 2026): +1.59biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −3.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −5.07baycurrent classic 2026, round 1 (Oct 8, 2026): +3.28baycurrent classic 2026, round 2 (Oct 8, 2026): +1.10baycurrent classic 2026, round 3 (Oct 8, 2026): −2.65baycurrent classic 2026, round 4 (Oct 8, 2026): +0.6424-round +0.27oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

+0.78
Round 1+0.05
Round 2+0.92
Round 3+0.65
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Baycurrent ClassicT33−6+0.59
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC+6−4.24
BMW Championship50+5−1.31
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT12−5+2.06
Wyndham ChampionshipT12−13+2.57
Rocket ClassicMCE−0.62
The OpenT67+4+0.16
Genesis Scottish OpenT36−4+1.10
Travelers ChampionshipT30−11+1.20
U.S. OpenT56+10+0.56
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayT40+6+0.06
Charles Schwab ChallengeT6−10+2.95
PGA ChampionshipMC+10−2.52
Truist ChampionshipT31−3+0.96
Cadillac ChampionshipT55−1−0.09
RBC Heritage81+6−2.18
Masters TournamentMC+13−4.17
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC+1−0.91
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT66+6−0.30
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardT44+2+0.10
Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches1−17+3.87
The Genesis InvitationalMC+1−0.47
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT8−18+2.82
WM Phoenix OpenMC+4−2.00
The American ExpressMC−5−1.15
Sony Open in HawaiiMC+7−3.79
The RSM ClassicT4−19+2.35
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT46+1+0.10
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT14−21+2.15
Baycurrent Classic9−13+2.59
Procore ChampionshipMC+3−1.47
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT38−3+0.74
Wyndham ChampionshipT19−10+2.19
The OpenMC+4−0.50
Genesis Scottish OpenT22−5+1.75
John Deere ClassicMC+2−2.34
Rocket ClassicT6−20+2.89
U.S. OpenMC+13−1.73
Charles Schwab ChallengeT59+2+0.23
PGA ChampionshipT41+2+1.40
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT25−14+1.70
Masters Tournament51+8−0.48
Texas Children's Houston OpenT32−8+1.00
Valspar ChampionshipT16−4+2.00
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+3−1.05
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC−4+0.33
The Genesis InvitationalT34E+0.97
WM Phoenix OpenMC+2−1.46
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am77+5−2.32
The American ExpressMC−6−0.21
Sony Open in HawaiiT1−17+2.96
The SentryT32−16+0.56
The RSM ClassicT2−15+3.06
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT29−8+0.86
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT6−17+2.27
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP1−20+3.98
Shriners Children's OpenMC+1−1.40
Black Desert ChampionshipT11−15+1.79
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMCE−2.53
Procore ChampionshipMC−2+0.30
Wyndham ChampionshipT22−10+1.82
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+1−1.43
John Deere ClassicT52−9+0.07
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT63−5+0.07
U.S. Open54+10+0.78
RBC Canadian OpenMC+13−5.74
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+3−0.34
Myrtle Beach ClassicMCE−1.10
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT24−15+1.29
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT14−13+1.71
Valero Texas OpenMC+15−6.29
Valspar ChampionshipMC+2−0.29
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+2−0.55
Puerto Rico OpenT15−14+1.35
Cognizant ClassicT21−10+1.78
Mexico Open at VidantaT24−9+1.16
WM Phoenix OpenMC+3−1.97
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−20.00
The American ExpressT65−11−0.34
Sony Open in HawaiiT66−4−0.01
The SentryT25−20+1.21
The RSM ClassicT44−11+0.46
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT76−4−1.42
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT31−16+0.83
Shriners Children's OpenMC−1−0.66
Fortinet ChampionshipMC+1−1.31
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+1−0.72
3M OpenMC+5−3.67
John Deere ClassicMC−3+0.18
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC−2−0.83
Travelers ChampionshipMC+1−1.32
U.S. OpenMC+3+0.48
The Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+6−0.94
PGA ChampionshipMC+9−1.23
Wells Fargo ChampionshipMC+1+0.18
Mexico OpenT66−2−0.62
RBC HeritageMC+2−1.18
Valero Texas OpenT28−5+1.46
Valspar ChampionshipMC+8−2.97
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+6−1.19
Puerto Rico Open1−21+3.89
The Honda ClassicMC+10−4.26
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC+7−2.43
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+2−0.18
The American ExpressMC−9+0.46
Sony Open in HawaiiT12−12+1.78
The RSM ClassicMC−3+0.21
Cadence Bank Houston OpenMC+4−1.57
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT23−11+1.09
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC+5−2.96
Fortinet ChampionshipMC+2−1.31

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:25Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI