Predictium
Golf
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Ricky Castillo

True SG total
+0.88
the model's rating
Rounds in window
174

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds+1.08
87
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+1.12
86
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds+0.66
74
Weekend Minus Early Rounds−0.87
18
Scoring Consistency2.43
78
Rounds Above Tour Average60.0%
74
Strokes Gained, Round 1+1.25
85
Strokes Gained, Round 2+0.90
80
Strokes Gained, Round 3−0.03
41
Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.45
51
Strokes Gained, Par 3s+0.04
61
Strokes Gained, Par 4s+0.31
79
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.31
90
Birdie-or-Better Rate25.2%
92
Bogey Avoidance Rate86.3%
78
Bounce-Back Rate17.0%
22
Double-or-Worse Rate1.9%
52
Strokes Gained, Front Nine+0.39
84
Strokes Gained, Back Nine+0.26
75
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.23
85
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes+0.29
88

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 173 rounds.

−5.000.00+5.00cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): −1.24cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 3 (Feb 27, 2025): +2.33cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 4 (Feb 27, 2025): −3.05puerto rico open 2025, round 1 (Mar 6, 2025): +0.87puerto rico open 2025, round 2 (Mar 6, 2025): +1.58puerto rico open 2025, round 3 (Mar 6, 2025): +0.63puerto rico open 2025, round 4 (Mar 6, 2025): −5.26the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.91the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): −2.00valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +5.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): +0.33valspar championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 20, 2025): +3.54valspar championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 20, 2025): −0.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.48texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +0.20valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): +0.21valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): +0.45corales puntacana championship 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): −1.73corales puntacana championship 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): +2.07corales puntacana championship 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): +0.92corales puntacana championship 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): +0.14the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +3.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): +3.91the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 3 (May 1, 2025): +2.41the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 4 (May 1, 2025): −0.25oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): −0.13oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): +1.46oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 3 (May 8, 2025): −0.04oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 4 (May 8, 2025): +0.44charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): +2.66charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): +0.13charles schwab challenge 2025, round 3 (May 22, 2025): +3.51charles schwab challenge 2025, round 4 (May 22, 2025): −5.37rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): +4.74rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): −4.49rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): −0.81rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): −3.29john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): +2.67john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): −8.36isco championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): −1.15isco championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +2.97isco championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): +1.25isco championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.503m open 2025, round 1 (Jul 24, 2025): +4.013m open 2025, round 2 (Jul 24, 2025): −3.75wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +3.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): +2.68wyndham championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.54wyndham championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.79procore championship 2025, round 1 (Sep 11, 2025): +0.90procore championship 2025, round 2 (Sep 11, 2025): +3.16procore championship 2025, round 3 (Sep 11, 2025): −1.51procore championship 2025, round 4 (Sep 11, 2025): +2.74sanderson farms championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 2, 2025): +0.55sanderson farms championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 2, 2025): −0.71bank of utah championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 23, 2025): +1.24bank of utah championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 23, 2025): −1.49world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): −2.46world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): +0.75butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): −3.24butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): −0.36the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): +4.18the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +1.83the rsm classic 2025, round 3 (Nov 20, 2025): +0.01the rsm classic 2025, round 4 (Nov 20, 2025): +5.37pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 1 (Dec 11, 2025): +0.23pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 2 (Dec 11, 2025): −0.93pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 3 (Dec 11, 2025): +1.33sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): +3.08sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): +0.34sony open in hawaii 2026, round 3 (Jan 15, 2026): +2.65sony open in hawaii 2026, round 4 (Jan 15, 2026): −1.57the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +0.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): −4.06the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): +5.91the american express 2026, round 4 (Jan 22, 2026): +2.01farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +3.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): +0.29farmers insurance open 2026, round 3 (Jan 29, 2026): −2.67farmers insurance open 2026, round 4 (Jan 29, 2026): +3.06cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): +2.59cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): +1.47cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 3 (Feb 26, 2026): +5.26cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 4 (Feb 26, 2026): +2.14puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): +3.85puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +2.37puerto rico open 2026, round 3 (Mar 5, 2026): +2.76puerto rico open 2026, round 4 (Mar 5, 2026): +3.27the players championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 12, 2026): +2.83the players championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 12, 2026): −0.92the players championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 12, 2026): −4.67the players championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 12, 2026): −0.46valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +4.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): −0.93valspar championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 19, 2026): −0.43valspar championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 19, 2026): +0.21texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): +1.98texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): +1.20texas children s houston open 2026, round 3 (Mar 26, 2026): +2.83texas children s houston open 2026, round 4 (Mar 26, 2026): −2.28rbc heritage 2026, round 1 (Apr 16, 2026): −1.50rbc heritage 2026, round 2 (Apr 16, 2026): +0.14rbc heritage 2026, round 3 (Apr 16, 2026): −2.36rbc heritage 2026, round 4 (Apr 16, 2026): +4.00cadillac championship 2026, round 1 (Apr 30, 2026): −0.55cadillac championship 2026, round 2 (Apr 30, 2026): +0.84cadillac championship 2026, round 3 (Apr 30, 2026): +0.45cadillac championship 2026, round 4 (Apr 30, 2026): −1.08truist championship 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): +3.37truist championship 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −2.41truist championship 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): +1.55truist championship 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): −3.67pga championship 2026, round 1 (May 14, 2026): −1.69pga championship 2026, round 2 (May 14, 2026): −0.35charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): +4.11charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +0.86charles schwab challenge 2026, round 3 (May 28, 2026): −2.27charles schwab challenge 2026, round 4 (May 28, 2026): +0.10rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): +3.72rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): −0.74rbc canadian open 2026, round 3 (Jun 11, 2026): −2.07rbc canadian open 2026, round 4 (Jun 11, 2026): +2.47genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.92genesis scottish open 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): −0.23genesis scottish open 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): −0.333m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): −0.803m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): +2.083m open 2026, round 3 (Jul 23, 2026): +2.893m open 2026, round 4 (Jul 23, 2026): −1.93rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): +3.37rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): +1.40rocket classic 2026, round 3 (Jul 30, 2026): +0.88rocket classic 2026, round 4 (Jul 30, 2026): +2.61wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): +1.84wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): +1.46wyndham championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 6, 2026): −0.40wyndham championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 6, 2026): +0.36fedex st jude championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 13, 2026): −1.47fedex st jude championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 13, 2026): −3.48fedex st jude championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 13, 2026): +2.68fedex st jude championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 13, 2026): −1.47biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): +0.59biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): +7.93biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 3 (Sep 17, 2026): +2.21biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 4 (Sep 17, 2026): +2.68baycurrent classic 2026, round 1 (Oct 8, 2026): +5.28baycurrent classic 2026, round 2 (Oct 8, 2026): +0.10baycurrent classic 2026, round 3 (Oct 8, 2026): −3.65baycurrent classic 2026, round 4 (Oct 8, 2026): +1.6424-round +1.12oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

+1.25
Round 1+0.90
Round 2−0.03
Round 3+0.45
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Baycurrent ClassicT29−7+0.84
Biltmore Championship AshevilleT3−23+3.35
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT63+7−0.94
Wyndham ChampionshipT49−6+0.82
Rocket ClassicT20−10+2.06
3M OpenT44−9+0.56
Genesis Scottish OpenT44−3+0.85
RBC Canadian OpenT45−5+0.85
Charles Schwab ChallengeT42−1+0.70
PGA ChampionshipMC+7−1.02
Truist ChampionshipT60+2−0.29
Cadillac ChampionshipT55−1−0.09
RBC HeritageT60−3+0.07
Texas Children's Houston OpenT44−5+0.93
Valspar ChampionshipT46E+0.74
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT70+8−0.80
Puerto Rico Open1−17+3.06
Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches5−13+2.87
Farmers Insurance OpenT43−6+0.97
The American ExpressT44−15+1.14
Sony Open in HawaiiT31−6+1.13
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry−1+0.21
The RSM Classic3−21+2.85
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+3−1.80
World Wide Technology ChampionshipMC−4−0.86
Bank of Utah ChampionshipMC−1−0.13
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC−3−0.08
Procore ChampionshipT30−7+1.32
Wyndham ChampionshipT23−9+1.94
3M OpenMC−4+0.13
ISCO ChampionshipT34E+0.89
John Deere ClassicMC+3−2.84
Rocket ClassicMC−1−2.05
RBC Canadian OpenMC−2+0.12
Charles Schwab ChallengeT59+2+0.23
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicT37−5+0.43
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT5−17+2.45
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT38−4+0.35
Valero Texas OpenMC−1+0.33
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC−2+0.34
Valspar ChampionshipT12−5+2.25
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMCE+0.45
Puerto Rico OpenT64−8−0.55
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesT56−6+0.24
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldT55−6+0.03
Farmers Insurance OpenT15−1+1.86
The American ExpressT43−12+1.09
Sony Open in HawaiiMCE−1.02
Valspar ChampionshipMC+1+0.21
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry−2+0.43
U.S. OpenMC+12−1.81

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:27Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI