Predictium
Golf
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Jesper Svensson

True SG total
−0.26
the model's rating
Rounds in window
150

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds−1.56
16
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds−0.50
36
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds−0.04
47
Weekend Minus Early Rounds−0.34
40
Scoring Consistency3.24
10
Rounds Above Tour Average48.0%
45
Strokes Gained, Round 1+0.60
68
Strokes Gained, Round 2−0.43
37
Strokes Gained, Round 3−0.03
40
Strokes Gained, Round 4−0.53
23
Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.59
4
Strokes Gained, Par 4s−0.31
43
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.09
71
Birdie-or-Better Rate21.8%
59
Bogey Avoidance Rate81.5%
28
Bounce-Back Rate18.2%
30
Double-or-Worse Rate2.1%
42
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.57
25
Strokes Gained, Back Nine−0.23
43
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes−0.42
16
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.06
53

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure.

−10.00−5.000.00+5.00pga championship 2024, round 1 (May 16, 2024): +3.28pga championship 2024, round 2 (May 16, 2024): +0.06pga championship 2024, round 3 (May 16, 2024): −1.72pga championship 2024, round 4 (May 16, 2024): +1.99genesis scottish open 2024, round 1 (Jul 11, 2024): −0.07genesis scottish open 2024, round 2 (Jul 11, 2024): +2.20genesis scottish open 2024, round 3 (Jul 11, 2024): −0.74genesis scottish open 2024, round 4 (Jul 11, 2024): +4.00the open 2024, round 1 (Jul 18, 2024): +2.66the open 2024, round 2 (Jul 18, 2024): −6.41sony open in hawaii 2025, round 1 (Jan 9, 2025): +2.10sony open in hawaii 2025, round 2 (Jan 9, 2025): +1.87sony open in hawaii 2025, round 3 (Jan 9, 2025): +1.22sony open in hawaii 2025, round 4 (Jan 9, 2025): +2.65the american express 2025, round 1 (Jan 16, 2025): +1.83the american express 2025, round 2 (Jan 16, 2025): +2.66the american express 2025, round 3 (Jan 16, 2025): −5.11farmers insurance open 2025, round 1 (Jan 22, 2025): +0.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 2 (Jan 22, 2025): +0.57wm phoenix open 2025, round 1 (Feb 6, 2025): +1.33wm phoenix open 2025, round 2 (Feb 6, 2025): −0.24wm phoenix open 2025, round 3 (Feb 6, 2025): −2.71wm phoenix open 2025, round 4 (Feb 6, 2025): +2.40mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 1 (Feb 20, 2025): +1.44mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 2 (Feb 20, 2025): +3.21mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 3 (Feb 20, 2025): −2.38mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 4 (Feb 20, 2025): −1.16cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 1 (Feb 27, 2025): +4.91cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): +2.76cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 3 (Feb 27, 2025): −2.67cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 4 (Feb 27, 2025): −0.05the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): +0.91the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.00the players championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.74the players championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 13, 2025): −0.44valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +1.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): −0.67valspar championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 20, 2025): −1.46valspar championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 20, 2025): +0.33texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): +3.48texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): −0.80texas children s houston open 2025, round 3 (Mar 27, 2025): +5.53texas children s houston open 2025, round 4 (Mar 27, 2025): −3.21valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): +2.21valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): −0.55valero texas open 2025, round 3 (Apr 3, 2025): +1.35valero texas open 2025, round 4 (Apr 3, 2025): +1.28the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +0.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): −3.09oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): +3.87oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): −2.54oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 3 (May 8, 2025): −2.04oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 4 (May 8, 2025): −2.56charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): −3.34charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): +5.13charles schwab challenge 2025, round 3 (May 22, 2025): +0.51charles schwab challenge 2025, round 4 (May 22, 2025): +0.63rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): −0.26rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): +4.51rbc canadian open 2025, round 3 (Jun 5, 2025): −0.89rbc canadian open 2025, round 4 (Jun 5, 2025): +3.23rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): −0.81rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): −0.29john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): +2.67john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): −0.36john deere classic 2025, round 3 (Jul 3, 2025): +0.19john deere classic 2025, round 4 (Jul 3, 2025): −0.34genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): −2.88genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +6.07genesis scottish open 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.19genesis scottish open 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): +1.63the open 2025, round 1 (Jul 17, 2025): +2.31the open 2025, round 2 (Jul 17, 2025): −0.32the open 2025, round 3 (Jul 17, 2025): +2.82the open 2025, round 4 (Jul 17, 2025): +4.733m open 2025, round 1 (Jul 24, 2025): +3.013m open 2025, round 2 (Jul 24, 2025): +0.253m open 2025, round 3 (Jul 24, 2025): +5.403m open 2025, round 4 (Jul 24, 2025): −0.80wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): −4.25wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.68sanderson farms championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 2, 2025): +0.55sanderson farms championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 2, 2025): +3.29sanderson farms championship 2025, round 3 (Oct 2, 2025): −6.37sanderson farms championship 2025, round 4 (Oct 2, 2025): +3.18bank of utah championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 23, 2025): +5.24bank of utah championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 23, 2025): −3.49bank of utah championship 2025, round 3 (Oct 23, 2025): −1.70bank of utah championship 2025, round 4 (Oct 23, 2025): +7.51world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): −3.46world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): −10.25butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): +2.76butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): −0.36butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 3 (Nov 13, 2025): −0.20butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 4 (Nov 13, 2025): +4.22the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): +0.18the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +4.83the rsm classic 2025, round 3 (Nov 20, 2025): −7.99the rsm classic 2025, round 4 (Nov 20, 2025): +4.37the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): −3.32the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): −1.06the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): +3.91farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +1.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): −0.71cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): +1.59cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): −2.53puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): +4.85puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.37puerto rico open 2026, round 3 (Mar 5, 2026): −0.24puerto rico open 2026, round 4 (Mar 5, 2026): +0.27valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +3.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): −3.93texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): +2.98texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): −0.80texas children s houston open 2026, round 3 (Mar 26, 2026): −3.17texas children s houston open 2026, round 4 (Mar 26, 2026): −3.28valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): −1.90valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): −5.37oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −3.56oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −0.97the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): +6.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): −3.79the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 3 (May 21, 2026): +4.10the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 4 (May 21, 2026): +3.83rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): +2.72rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): +5.26rbc canadian open 2026, round 3 (Jun 11, 2026): +1.93rbc canadian open 2026, round 4 (Jun 11, 2026): +1.47genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +1.92genesis scottish open 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): +2.77genesis scottish open 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): −3.33the open 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.32the open 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +4.59the open 2026, round 3 (Jul 16, 2026): −5.99the open 2026, round 4 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.653m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): +5.203m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): +1.083m open 2026, round 3 (Jul 23, 2026): −2.113m open 2026, round 4 (Jul 23, 2026): −1.93rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): −5.63rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): +3.40wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): −0.16wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): −6.54biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −5.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.07bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): −0.09bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): +0.88bank of utah championship 2026, round 3 (Oct 1, 2026): −1.49bank of utah championship 2026, round 4 (Oct 1, 2026): +0.3924-round −0.50oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

+0.60
Round 1−0.43
Round 2−0.03
Round 3−0.53
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT53−11−0.08
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC+3−2.74
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+5−3.35
Rocket ClassicMC+1−1.12
3M OpenT44−9+0.56
The Open78+9−1.09
Genesis Scottish OpenT52−1+0.35
RBC Canadian OpenT4−13+2.85
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT9−19+2.54
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC+4−2.26
Valero Texas OpenMC+6−3.64
Texas Children's Houston OpenT69+3−1.07
Valspar ChampionshipMC+3−0.40
Puerto Rico OpenT8−11+1.56
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC+2−0.47
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−2+0.24
The American ExpressMC−8−0.15
The RSM ClassicT51−11+0.35
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT14−5+1.60
World Wide Technology ChampionshipMC+8−6.86
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT15−13+1.89
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT48−8+0.16
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+2−1.79
3M OpenT14−16+1.96
The OpenT16−7+2.39
Genesis Scottish OpenT43−3+1.25
John Deere ClassicT44−8+0.54
Rocket ClassicMC−4−0.55
RBC Canadian OpenT18−12+1.65
Charles Schwab ChallengeT46E+0.73
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicT61E−0.82
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−1−1.18
Valero Texas OpenT33+1+1.07
Texas Children's Houston OpenT27−9+1.25
Valspar ChampionshipT64+40.00
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT42E+1.30
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesT32−10+1.24
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldT49−7+0.28
WM Phoenix OpenT63−3+0.19
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+2+0.54
The American ExpressMC−6−0.21
Sony Open in HawaiiT10−12+1.96
The OpenMC+11−1.87
Genesis Scottish OpenT34−9+1.35
PGA ChampionshipT53−5+0.90

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:27Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI