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Matthieu Pavon

True SG total
−0.25
the model's rating
Rounds in window
231

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds−1.04
28
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds−0.49
37
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds−0.08
47
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+1.90
99
Scoring Consistency2.56
64
Rounds Above Tour Average50.0%
49
Strokes Gained, Round 1−0.01
54
Strokes Gained, Round 2−1.22
17
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.42Not ranked yet (7 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Round 4+2.15Not ranked yet (7 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Par 3s−0.18
34
Strokes Gained, Par 4s−0.61
27
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.07
66
Birdie-or-Better Rate22.0%
61
Bogey Avoidance Rate84.0%
53
Bounce-Back Rate25.0%
70
Double-or-Worse Rate2.5%
25
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.46
32
Strokes Gained, Back Nine−0.26
41
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes−0.57
8
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes−0.02
57

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 231 rounds.

−10.00−5.000.00+5.00tour championship 2024, round 3 (Aug 29, 2024): −0.41tour championship 2024, round 4 (Aug 29, 2024): +2.05hero world challenge 2024, round 1 (Dec 5, 2024): −3.88hero world challenge 2024, round 2 (Dec 5, 2024): −2.18hero world challenge 2024, round 3 (Dec 5, 2024): +2.52hero world challenge 2024, round 4 (Dec 5, 2024): −0.43the sentry 2025, round 1 (Jan 2, 2025): −2.47the sentry 2025, round 2 (Jan 2, 2025): −1.08the sentry 2025, round 3 (Jan 2, 2025): −0.69the sentry 2025, round 4 (Jan 2, 2025): +1.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 1 (Jan 22, 2025): −1.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 2 (Jan 22, 2025): −4.43at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 1 (Jan 30, 2025): +1.83at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 2 (Jan 30, 2025): −2.06at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 3 (Jan 30, 2025): −5.59at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 4 (Jan 30, 2025): −0.47wm phoenix open 2025, round 1 (Feb 6, 2025): +3.33wm phoenix open 2025, round 2 (Feb 6, 2025): +1.76wm phoenix open 2025, round 3 (Feb 6, 2025): −1.71wm phoenix open 2025, round 4 (Feb 6, 2025): −2.60the genesis invitational 2025, round 1 (Feb 13, 2025): −3.85the genesis invitational 2025, round 2 (Feb 13, 2025): +3.66the genesis invitational 2025, round 3 (Feb 13, 2025): −1.97the genesis invitational 2025, round 4 (Feb 13, 2025): +3.05cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 1 (Feb 27, 2025): +2.91cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): +5.76cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 3 (Feb 27, 2025): −1.67cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 4 (Feb 27, 2025): −4.05arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2025, round 1 (Mar 6, 2025): +0.48arnold palmer invitational pres by mastercard 2025, round 2 (Mar 6, 2025): −10.19the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): +2.91the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): 0.00the players championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 13, 2025): −1.26the players championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 13, 2025): +0.56valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +2.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): +1.33valspar championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 20, 2025): +0.54valspar championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 20, 2025): −1.67masters tournament 2025, round 1 (Apr 10, 2025): −3.75masters tournament 2025, round 2 (Apr 10, 2025): −2.66rbc heritage 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): −0.85rbc heritage 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): −3.81rbc heritage 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): +1.96rbc heritage 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): +4.61truist championship 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): −0.34truist championship 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): −2.09truist championship 2025, round 3 (May 8, 2025): −1.03truist championship 2025, round 4 (May 8, 2025): +2.99pga championship 2025, round 1 (May 15, 2025): +1.86pga championship 2025, round 2 (May 15, 2025): +7.53pga championship 2025, round 3 (May 15, 2025): +1.29pga championship 2025, round 4 (May 15, 2025): −5.07the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 1 (May 29, 2025): −0.19the memorial tournament pres by workday 2025, round 2 (May 29, 2025): −1.16rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): −1.26rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): −10.49u s open 2025, round 1 (Jun 12, 2025): +3.70u s open 2025, round 2 (Jun 12, 2025): +0.84u s open 2025, round 3 (Jun 12, 2025): −7.55u s open 2025, round 4 (Jun 12, 2025): −2.02travelers championship 2025, round 1 (Jun 19, 2025): −1.27travelers championship 2025, round 2 (Jun 19, 2025): +0.57travelers championship 2025, round 3 (Jun 19, 2025): +0.89travelers championship 2025, round 4 (Jun 19, 2025): −2.68genesis scottish open 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): −1.88genesis scottish open 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +2.07the open 2025, round 1 (Jul 17, 2025): −2.69the open 2025, round 2 (Jul 17, 2025): +0.683m open 2025, round 1 (Jul 24, 2025): +0.013m open 2025, round 2 (Jul 24, 2025): +1.253m open 2025, round 3 (Jul 24, 2025): +2.403m open 2025, round 4 (Jul 24, 2025): −0.80wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +2.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.68wyndham championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 31, 2025): −3.46wyndham championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 31, 2025): −3.21sanderson farms championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 2, 2025): −0.45sanderson farms championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 2, 2025): −1.71world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): −1.46world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): +4.75world wide technology championship 2025, round 3 (Nov 6, 2025): −0.79world wide technology championship 2025, round 4 (Nov 6, 2025): +1.10butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): −3.24butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): −1.36the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): −2.82the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +3.83the rsm classic 2025, round 3 (Nov 20, 2025): −1.99the rsm classic 2025, round 4 (Nov 20, 2025): −0.63sony open in hawaii 2026, round 1 (Jan 15, 2026): +1.08sony open in hawaii 2026, round 2 (Jan 15, 2026): +1.34sony open in hawaii 2026, round 3 (Jan 15, 2026): −2.35sony open in hawaii 2026, round 4 (Jan 15, 2026): +1.43the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): +4.68the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): −1.06the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): +1.91the american express 2026, round 4 (Jan 22, 2026): +1.01farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +4.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): −2.71farmers insurance open 2026, round 3 (Jan 29, 2026): +2.33farmers insurance open 2026, round 4 (Jan 29, 2026): +1.06wm phoenix open 2026, round 1 (Feb 5, 2026): −1.70wm phoenix open 2026, round 2 (Feb 5, 2026): −1.29cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): +0.59cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): +2.47cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 3 (Feb 26, 2026): +1.26cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 4 (Feb 26, 2026): +2.14puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −1.15puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +1.37puerto rico open 2026, round 3 (Mar 5, 2026): +0.76puerto rico open 2026, round 4 (Mar 5, 2026): +0.27the players championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 12, 2026): −1.17the players championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 12, 2026): −0.92valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +2.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): +2.07valspar championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.57valspar championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 19, 2026): +3.21texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): +1.98texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): −0.80texas children s houston open 2026, round 3 (Mar 26, 2026): −0.17texas children s houston open 2026, round 4 (Mar 26, 2026): +0.72valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): −2.90valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): −2.37oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): +0.44oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −1.97the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): +2.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): −0.79the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 3 (May 21, 2026): +2.10the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 4 (May 21, 2026): −0.17charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): −1.89charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +1.86rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): +1.72rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): −0.74rbc canadian open 2026, round 3 (Jun 11, 2026): +2.93rbc canadian open 2026, round 4 (Jun 11, 2026): +3.47john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −2.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): −0.47genesis scottish open 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.03genesis scottish open 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): −6.083m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): −1.803m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): +1.08rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): +3.37rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): −4.60wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): −1.16wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): −0.54biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −8.07bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): +1.91bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): −2.12bank of utah championship 2026, round 3 (Oct 1, 2026): −5.49bank of utah championship 2026, round 4 (Oct 1, 2026): +5.3924-round −0.49oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

−0.01
Round 1−1.22
Round 2+0.42
Round 37 rounds, unranked+2.15
Round 47 rounds, unranked

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT53−11−0.08
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC+6−4.24
Wyndham ChampionshipMCE−0.85
Rocket ClassicMCE−0.62
3M OpenMC−1−0.36
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+6−3.03
John Deere ClassicMCE−1.27
RBC Canadian OpenT20−9+1.85
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC−1−0.01
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT40−12+0.79
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC+1−0.76
Valero Texas OpenMC+4−2.64
Texas Children's Houston OpenT51−3+0.43
Valspar ChampionshipT11−6+2.24
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+5−1.04
Puerto Rico OpenT42−6+0.31
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesT17−8+1.62
WM Phoenix OpenMC+3−1.50
Farmers Insurance OpenT38−7+1.22
The American ExpressT27−17+1.64
Sony Open in HawaiiT55−3+0.38
The RSM ClassicT67−8−0.40
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+4−2.30
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT31−16+0.90
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC−1−1.08
Wyndham ChampionshipT72+2−0.81
3M OpenT44−11+0.71
The OpenMC+5−1.00
Genesis Scottish OpenMCE+0.10
Travelers ChampionshipT58+3−0.62
U.S. OpenT64+22−1.26
RBC Canadian OpenMC+10−5.88
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+6−0.68
PGA ChampionshipT41+2+1.40
Truist ChampionshipT54E−0.12
RBC HeritageT42−5+0.48
Masters TournamentMC+10−3.20
Valspar ChampionshipT47+1+0.75
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT54+3+0.55
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardMC+14−4.86
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesT42−8+0.74
The Genesis InvitationalT44+3+0.22
WM Phoenix OpenT63−3+0.19
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT73+2−1.57
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+9−2.96
The SentryT48−11−0.69
Hero World ChallengeT17E−0.99
TOUR Championship15−11+1.30
BMW ChampionshipT33+1+0.14
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT46−2+0.36
The OpenT50+9+0.74
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+4−2.93
Travelers ChampionshipT16−14+2.01
U.S. Open5−3+4.03
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+8−2.01
PGA ChampionshipMC+11−5.33
Wells Fargo Championship67+17−2.71
RBC HeritageT49−3−0.13
Masters TournamentT12+1+2.36
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+3−1.05
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardT52+6−0.29
Cognizant ClassicT28−9+1.53
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am−15+3.74
Farmers Insurance Open1−13+3.29
The American ExpressT39−17+1.16
Sony Open in HawaiiT7−14+2.49
Genesis Scottish OpenMC+1−0.89
U.S. OpenMC+9−2.52
Genesis Scottish OpenT36+2+1.25
U.S. OpenMC+5−0.76
U.S. OpenT25+12+1.63
The OpenMC+12−3.09

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:17Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI