Predictium
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Nick Hardy

True SG total
−0.33
the model's rating
Rounds in window
393

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds−0.33
49
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds−0.58
32
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds−0.66
26
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+0.18Not ranked yet (50 rounds, below the minimum)Scoring Consistency2.33
88
Rounds Above Tour Average42.0%
30
Strokes Gained, Round 1−1.43
14
Strokes Gained, Round 2+0.04
53
Strokes Gained, Round 3−1.15Not ranked yet (5 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Round 4+0.13Not ranked yet (5 rounds, below the minimum)Strokes Gained, Par 3s0.00
58
Strokes Gained, Par 4s−0.76
21
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.16
76
Birdie-or-Better Rate22.9%
72
Bogey Avoidance Rate82.6%
41
Bounce-Back Rate33.3%
95
Double-or-Worse Rate2.5%
25
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.53
28
Strokes Gained, Back Nine−0.07
54
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes−0.74
4
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes+0.23
82

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 393 rounds.

−5.00−2.500.00+2.50+5.00valero texas open 2024, round 2 (Apr 4, 2024): +3.38valero texas open 2024, round 3 (Apr 4, 2024): +0.89valero texas open 2024, round 4 (Apr 4, 2024): +0.16corales puntacana championship 2024, round 1 (Apr 18, 2024): −2.57corales puntacana championship 2024, round 2 (Apr 18, 2024): +0.13the cj cup byron nelson 2024, round 1 (May 2, 2024): +2.95the cj cup byron nelson 2024, round 2 (May 2, 2024): −2.29charles schwab challenge 2024, round 1 (May 23, 2024): −0.67charles schwab challenge 2024, round 2 (May 23, 2024): +0.99charles schwab challenge 2024, round 3 (May 23, 2024): +0.04charles schwab challenge 2024, round 4 (May 23, 2024): −2.20rbc canadian open 2024, round 1 (May 30, 2024): +4.77rbc canadian open 2024, round 2 (May 30, 2024): +1.75rbc canadian open 2024, round 3 (May 30, 2024): −0.51rbc canadian open 2024, round 4 (May 30, 2024): −3.41rocket mortgage classic 2024, round 1 (Jun 27, 2024): +0.98rocket mortgage classic 2024, round 2 (Jun 27, 2024): +3.11rocket mortgage classic 2024, round 3 (Jun 27, 2024): −1.09rocket mortgage classic 2024, round 4 (Jun 27, 2024): −0.71john deere classic 2024, round 1 (Jul 4, 2024): −1.93john deere classic 2024, round 2 (Jul 4, 2024): −2.09isco championship 2024, round 1 (Jul 11, 2024): +0.12isco championship 2024, round 2 (Jul 11, 2024): +1.50isco championship 2024, round 3 (Jul 11, 2024): −3.58isco championship 2024, round 4 (Jul 11, 2024): −0.343m open 2024, round 1 (Jul 25, 2024): +3.433m open 2024, round 2 (Jul 25, 2024): −0.893m open 2024, round 3 (Jul 25, 2024): +0.013m open 2024, round 4 (Jul 25, 2024): +0.24wyndham championship 2024, round 1 (Aug 8, 2024): +0.95wyndham championship 2024, round 2 (Aug 8, 2024): +2.29wyndham championship 2024, round 3 (Aug 8, 2024): −0.81wyndham championship 2024, round 4 (Aug 8, 2024): +1.84procore championship 2024, round 1 (Sep 12, 2024): +0.49procore championship 2024, round 2 (Sep 12, 2024): +3.11procore championship 2024, round 3 (Sep 12, 2024): −2.87procore championship 2024, round 4 (Sep 12, 2024): −0.14sanderson farms championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 3, 2024): +0.14sanderson farms championship 2024, round 2 (Oct 3, 2024): +2.80sanderson farms championship 2024, round 3 (Oct 3, 2024): −0.20sanderson farms championship 2024, round 4 (Oct 3, 2024): +2.31black desert championship 2024, round 1 (Oct 10, 2024): +2.78black desert championship 2024, round 2 (Oct 10, 2024): −1.84black desert championship 2024, round 3 (Oct 10, 2024): +2.70black desert championship 2024, round 4 (Oct 10, 2024): +4.52shriners children s open 2024, round 1 (Oct 17, 2024): −0.98shriners children s open 2024, round 2 (Oct 17, 2024): −1.82world wide technology championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 7, 2024): +3.28world wide technology championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 7, 2024): +1.52world wide technology championship 2024, round 3 (Nov 7, 2024): +0.32world wide technology championship 2024, round 4 (Nov 7, 2024): −1.05butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 14, 2024): −2.46butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 14, 2024): +0.66the rsm classic 2024, round 1 (Nov 21, 2024): −0.37the rsm classic 2024, round 2 (Nov 21, 2024): −5.16sony open in hawaii 2025, round 1 (Jan 9, 2025): −1.90sony open in hawaii 2025, round 2 (Jan 9, 2025): −0.13the american express 2025, round 1 (Jan 16, 2025): −3.17the american express 2025, round 2 (Jan 16, 2025): +1.66the american express 2025, round 3 (Jan 16, 2025): −1.11farmers insurance open 2025, round 1 (Jan 22, 2025): +0.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 2 (Jan 22, 2025): −4.43wm phoenix open 2025, round 1 (Feb 6, 2025): +2.33wm phoenix open 2025, round 2 (Feb 6, 2025): −2.24mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 1 (Feb 20, 2025): +0.44mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 2 (Feb 20, 2025): −2.79cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 1 (Feb 27, 2025): −0.09cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): −0.24puerto rico open 2025, round 1 (Mar 6, 2025): +2.87puerto rico open 2025, round 2 (Mar 6, 2025): −1.42puerto rico open 2025, round 3 (Mar 6, 2025): −1.37puerto rico open 2025, round 4 (Mar 6, 2025): −2.26valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +4.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): −5.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): −1.52texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +1.20valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): +0.21valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): −2.55corales puntacana championship 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): +1.27corales puntacana championship 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): +0.07corales puntacana championship 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): −0.08corales puntacana championship 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): −0.86the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +1.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): −1.09oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): −0.13oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): −6.54charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): +2.66charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): +3.13charles schwab challenge 2025, round 3 (May 22, 2025): +3.51charles schwab challenge 2025, round 4 (May 22, 2025): −0.37rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): −2.26rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): +1.51rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): +0.19rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): +3.71rocket classic 2025, round 3 (Jun 26, 2025): −3.48rocket classic 2025, round 4 (Jun 26, 2025): +1.12john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): −0.33john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): −1.36isco championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): +3.85isco championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): +2.97isco championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.25isco championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 10, 2025): +0.503m open 2025, round 1 (Jul 24, 2025): +2.013m open 2025, round 2 (Jul 24, 2025): −0.753m open 2025, round 3 (Jul 24, 2025): +1.403m open 2025, round 4 (Jul 24, 2025): +2.20wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): −5.32procore championship 2025, round 1 (Sep 11, 2025): −2.10procore championship 2025, round 2 (Sep 11, 2025): +0.16bank of utah championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 23, 2025): −2.76bank of utah championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 23, 2025): +2.51world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): +0.54world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): −2.25butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): −4.24butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): +1.64the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): −3.82the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): +3.83pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 1 (Dec 11, 2025): +0.23pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 2 (Dec 11, 2025): +0.07pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 3 (Dec 11, 2025): −4.67pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 4 (Dec 11, 2025): −3.22puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −2.15puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): −1.63valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): −1.90valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): −0.37oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): −2.56oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −1.97the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): 0.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): +0.21charles schwab challenge 2026, round 1 (May 28, 2026): −2.89charles schwab challenge 2026, round 2 (May 28, 2026): +0.86u s open 2026, round 1 (Jun 18, 2026): −5.62u s open 2026, round 2 (Jun 18, 2026): −0.65john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −4.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): +3.53isco championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +2.75isco championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.56isco championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): −2.01isco championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.14corales puntacana championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): −0.41corales puntacana championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): +3.42corales puntacana championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 16, 2026): −0.73corales puntacana championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.983m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): −0.803m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): −2.92biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): −0.07bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): −1.09bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): −0.1224-round −0.58oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

−1.43
Round 1+0.04
Round 2−1.15
Round 35 rounds, unranked+0.13
Round 45 rounds, unranked

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah ChampionshipMC−5−0.61
Biltmore Championship AshevilleMC−2−0.24
3M OpenMC+2−1.86
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT48−8+0.07
ISCO ChampionshipT21−10+1.11
John Deere ClassicMC−2−0.27
U.S. OpenMC+12−3.14
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+1−1.01
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−5+0.11
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC+4−2.26
Valero Texas OpenMC+1−1.14
Puerto Rico OpenMC+2−1.89
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry+5−1.90
The RSM ClassicMC−60.00
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+2−1.30
World Wide Technology ChampionshipMC−4−0.86
Bank of Utah ChampionshipMC−1−0.13
Procore ChampionshipMC+2−0.97
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+3−2.29
3M OpenT28−13+1.21
ISCO ChampionshipT8−4+1.89
John Deere ClassicMC−1−0.84
Rocket ClassicT51−10+0.39
RBC Canadian OpenMC−1−0.38
Charles Schwab ChallengeT11−6+2.23
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC+5−3.33
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−4+0.32
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT41−3+0.10
Valero Texas OpenMC+2−1.17
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC−1−0.16
Valspar ChampionshipMC+4−0.43
Puerto Rico OpenT64−8−0.55
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC−3−0.17
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldMC−1−1.17
WM Phoenix OpenMC−1+0.04
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+7−1.96
The American ExpressMC−4−0.88
Sony Open in HawaiiMCE−1.02
The RSM ClassicMC+6−2.76
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC−1−0.90
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT30−12+1.02
Shriners Children's OpenMC+1−1.40
Black Desert ChampionshipT8−16+2.04
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT28−15+1.26
Procore ChampionshipT50−3+0.15
Wyndham ChampionshipT38−7+1.07
3M OpenT46−5+0.70
ISCO ChampionshipT59−8−0.57
John Deere ClassicMCE−2.01
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT52−7+0.57
RBC Canadian OpenT42−2+0.65
Charles Schwab ChallengeT65+7−0.46
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−5+0.33
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipMC−1−1.22
Valero Texas OpenT25−4+1.62
Texas Children's Houston OpenT57E+0.21
Valspar ChampionshipMC+4−1.29
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+7−3.05
Cognizant ClassicMC+1−0.77
The Genesis InvitationalMC+4−1.85
WM Phoenix OpenT66−1−0.43
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am−5+0.41
Farmers Insurance OpenT37−4+1.04
Sony Open in HawaiiT42−8+0.99
The SentryT47−13−0.54
The RSM ClassicT23−15+1.46
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT45−11+0.33
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT23−17+1.08
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT41+3+0.05
Shriners Children's Open55−7−0.05
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT35−9+0.68
Fortinet ChampionshipMC+4−2.81
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipT49−3+0.23
Wyndham ChampionshipT27−7+1.40
3M OpenT13−13+2.02
John Deere ClassicT21−13+1.62
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC−2−0.83
Travelers ChampionshipT38−10+1.23
U.S. OpenT20+1+1.98
The Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+5−0.44
Charles Schwab ChallengeT48+2+0.76
PGA ChampionshipMC+9−1.23
Wells Fargo Championship68+8−1.43
RBC HeritageMC+2−1.18
Valero Texas OpenT28−5+1.46
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT13−12+1.92
Valspar ChampionshipMC+2+0.03
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+6−1.19
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardMC+4−0.64
The Honda ClassicMC+4−1.26
The Genesis InvitationalMC+5−1.57
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT41−4+0.67
Farmers Insurance OpenT44+2+0.69
Sony Open in HawaiiT41−8+0.78
The RSM ClassicMC−3+0.21
World Wide Technology Championship at MayakobaT21−14+1.77
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT23−11+1.09
Shriners Children's OpenT44−11+0.73
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT5−13+2.30
Fortinet ChampionshipT67+1−0.62
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+2−1.20
Rocket Mortgage ClassicMC+2−2.05
3M OpenT58+1−0.22
John Deere ClassicT30−10+1.08
Travelers ChampionshipT8−11+2.40
U.S. OpenT14+2+2.41
RBC Canadian OpenT35−3+1.06
Valero Texas OpenMC+2−0.87
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipMC+1−1.03
Puerto Rico OpenT28−8+0.85
The Honda ClassicMC+9−2.91
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC−2−0.08
Farmers Insurance OpenMCE−0.89
The American ExpressT67−4−0.35
Sony Open in HawaiiMC−4+0.15
The RSM ClassicT63−1−0.47
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+1−0.96
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT26−15+1.68
Fortinet ChampionshipT36−7+0.84
Waste Management Phoenix OpenT42−8+0.77
Sony Open in HawaiiT14−16+1.90
U.S. OpenMC+3+0.24
Corales Puntacana Resort & Club ChampionshipMC−1−0.67
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−2+0.09
Shriners Hospital for Children OpenMC+2−2.24
John Deere ClassicT43−10+0.49
Travelers ChampionshipT61−1−0.18
John Deere ClassicT55−7+0.11
U.S. OpenMC+10−1.36
U.S. OpenT52+10+0.24

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:16Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI