Predictium
Golf
← Players

Justin Lower

True SG total
+0.36
the model's rating
Rounds in window
431

True SG is the decay-weighted strokes gained per round the model prices from. 0 is the tour average. Measured through Oct 8, 2026.

Against the tour

Each bar is this player's percentile among ranked players; further right is better. Open a stat to see the whole tour with this player marked.

Strokes Gained, Last 12 Rounds+0.70
80
Strokes Gained, Last 24 Rounds+0.22
62
Strokes Gained, Last 50 Rounds−0.21
39
Weekend Minus Early Rounds+0.33
74
Scoring Consistency2.79
42
Rounds Above Tour Average56.0%
63
Strokes Gained, Round 1−1.13
19
Strokes Gained, Round 2+0.47
67
Strokes Gained, Round 3+0.98
74
Strokes Gained, Round 4−0.98
12
Strokes Gained, Par 3s+0.08
65
Strokes Gained, Par 4s−0.30
44
Strokes Gained, Par 5s+0.26
86
Birdie-or-Better Rate25.5%
94
Bogey Avoidance Rate84.5%
59
Bounce-Back Rate23.8%
61
Double-or-Worse Rate0.5%
99
Strokes Gained, Front Nine−0.36
39
Strokes Gained, Back Nine+0.40
85
Strokes Gained, Hardest Holes+0.08
68
Strokes Gained, Easiest Holes+0.22
81

Round by round

Each dot is one round's strokes gained, adjusted for the field. The dashed line is the tour average; the solid line is this player's 24-round figure. Showing the latest 150 of 431 rounds.

−10.00−5.000.00+5.00world wide technology championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 7, 2024): +2.52world wide technology championship 2024, round 3 (Nov 7, 2024): +6.32world wide technology championship 2024, round 4 (Nov 7, 2024): +3.95butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 1 (Nov 14, 2024): +5.54butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 2 (Nov 14, 2024): +3.66butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 3 (Nov 14, 2024): +0.44butterfield bermuda championship 2024, round 4 (Nov 14, 2024): −0.20the rsm classic 2024, round 1 (Nov 21, 2024): −5.37the rsm classic 2024, round 2 (Nov 21, 2024): +1.84sony open in hawaii 2025, round 1 (Jan 9, 2025): +1.10sony open in hawaii 2025, round 2 (Jan 9, 2025): −0.13sony open in hawaii 2025, round 3 (Jan 9, 2025): +3.22sony open in hawaii 2025, round 4 (Jan 9, 2025): −0.35the american express 2025, round 1 (Jan 16, 2025): +6.83the american express 2025, round 2 (Jan 16, 2025): +3.66the american express 2025, round 3 (Jan 16, 2025): +1.89the american express 2025, round 4 (Jan 16, 2025): +2.00farmers insurance open 2025, round 1 (Jan 22, 2025): −3.50farmers insurance open 2025, round 2 (Jan 22, 2025): −0.43at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 1 (Jan 30, 2025): +0.83at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 2 (Jan 30, 2025): −1.06at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 3 (Jan 30, 2025): −1.59at t pebble beach pro am 2025, round 4 (Jan 30, 2025): +1.53mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 1 (Feb 20, 2025): −0.56mexico open at vidantaworld 2025, round 2 (Feb 20, 2025): −0.79cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 1 (Feb 27, 2025): −1.09cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2025, round 2 (Feb 27, 2025): +0.76the players championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 13, 2025): +0.91the players championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 13, 2025): +1.00the players championship 2025, round 3 (Mar 13, 2025): +3.74the players championship 2025, round 4 (Mar 13, 2025): +0.56valspar championship 2025, round 1 (Mar 20, 2025): +3.82valspar championship 2025, round 2 (Mar 20, 2025): −5.67texas children s houston open 2025, round 1 (Mar 27, 2025): −3.52texas children s houston open 2025, round 2 (Mar 27, 2025): +1.20valero texas open 2025, round 1 (Apr 3, 2025): −1.79valero texas open 2025, round 2 (Apr 3, 2025): +0.45corales puntacana championship 2025, round 1 (Apr 17, 2025): +2.27corales puntacana championship 2025, round 2 (Apr 17, 2025): −1.93corales puntacana championship 2025, round 3 (Apr 17, 2025): +3.92corales puntacana championship 2025, round 4 (Apr 17, 2025): −0.86the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 1 (May 1, 2025): +0.73the cj cup byron nelson 2025, round 2 (May 1, 2025): −0.09oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 1 (May 8, 2025): −3.13oneflight myrtle beach classic 2025, round 2 (May 8, 2025): +2.46pga championship 2025, round 1 (May 15, 2025): +3.86pga championship 2025, round 2 (May 15, 2025): −0.47pga championship 2025, round 3 (May 15, 2025): −1.71pga championship 2025, round 4 (May 15, 2025): −0.07charles schwab challenge 2025, round 1 (May 22, 2025): −0.34charles schwab challenge 2025, round 2 (May 22, 2025): −0.87rbc canadian open 2025, round 1 (Jun 5, 2025): +0.74rbc canadian open 2025, round 2 (Jun 5, 2025): +1.51rbc canadian open 2025, round 3 (Jun 5, 2025): −4.89rbc canadian open 2025, round 4 (Jun 5, 2025): −3.77u s open 2025, round 1 (Jun 12, 2025): −8.30u s open 2025, round 2 (Jun 12, 2025): −9.16rocket classic 2025, round 1 (Jun 26, 2025): −0.81rocket classic 2025, round 2 (Jun 26, 2025): +2.71rocket classic 2025, round 3 (Jun 26, 2025): +2.52rocket classic 2025, round 4 (Jun 26, 2025): −1.88john deere classic 2025, round 1 (Jul 3, 2025): +5.67john deere classic 2025, round 2 (Jul 3, 2025): −1.36john deere classic 2025, round 3 (Jul 3, 2025): +0.19john deere classic 2025, round 4 (Jul 3, 2025): −2.34isco championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 10, 2025): +2.85isco championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 10, 2025): −3.033m open 2025, round 1 (Jul 24, 2025): −1.993m open 2025, round 2 (Jul 24, 2025): −2.75wyndham championship 2025, round 1 (Jul 31, 2025): +1.75wyndham championship 2025, round 2 (Jul 31, 2025): +0.68wyndham championship 2025, round 3 (Jul 31, 2025): −2.46wyndham championship 2025, round 4 (Jul 31, 2025): +2.79procore championship 2025, round 1 (Sep 11, 2025): −0.10procore championship 2025, round 2 (Sep 11, 2025): −5.84sanderson farms championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 2, 2025): −0.45sanderson farms championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 2, 2025): −2.71bank of utah championship 2025, round 1 (Oct 23, 2025): +4.24bank of utah championship 2025, round 2 (Oct 23, 2025): +3.51bank of utah championship 2025, round 3 (Oct 23, 2025): +0.30bank of utah championship 2025, round 4 (Oct 23, 2025): +2.51world wide technology championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 6, 2025): +2.54world wide technology championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 6, 2025): +3.75world wide technology championship 2025, round 3 (Nov 6, 2025): −0.79world wide technology championship 2025, round 4 (Nov 6, 2025): −1.90butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 1 (Nov 13, 2025): −2.24butterfield bermuda championship 2025, round 2 (Nov 13, 2025): −1.36the rsm classic 2025, round 1 (Nov 20, 2025): +0.18the rsm classic 2025, round 2 (Nov 20, 2025): −1.17pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 1 (Dec 11, 2025): −0.77pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 2 (Dec 11, 2025): +2.07pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 3 (Dec 11, 2025): −4.67pga tour q school presented by korn ferry 2025, round 4 (Dec 11, 2025): +4.78the american express 2026, round 1 (Jan 22, 2026): −2.32the american express 2026, round 2 (Jan 22, 2026): −6.06the american express 2026, round 3 (Jan 22, 2026): −0.09farmers insurance open 2026, round 1 (Jan 29, 2026): +8.19farmers insurance open 2026, round 2 (Jan 29, 2026): −0.71farmers insurance open 2026, round 3 (Jan 29, 2026): −0.67farmers insurance open 2026, round 4 (Jan 29, 2026): −0.94cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 1 (Feb 26, 2026): −3.41cognizant classic in the palm beaches 2026, round 2 (Feb 26, 2026): +1.47puerto rico open 2026, round 1 (Mar 5, 2026): −5.15puerto rico open 2026, round 2 (Mar 5, 2026): +4.37valspar championship 2026, round 1 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.13valspar championship 2026, round 2 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.07valspar championship 2026, round 3 (Mar 19, 2026): +1.57valspar championship 2026, round 4 (Mar 19, 2026): −1.79texas children s houston open 2026, round 1 (Mar 26, 2026): −6.02texas children s houston open 2026, round 2 (Mar 26, 2026): −7.80valero texas open 2026, round 1 (Apr 2, 2026): −2.90valero texas open 2026, round 2 (Apr 2, 2026): +1.63oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 1 (May 7, 2026): +1.44oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 2 (May 7, 2026): −0.97oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 3 (May 7, 2026): +1.67oneflight myrtle beach classic 2026, round 4 (May 7, 2026): −1.03the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 1 (May 21, 2026): +1.00the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 2 (May 21, 2026): +0.21the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 3 (May 21, 2026): +2.10the cj cup byron nelson 2026, round 4 (May 21, 2026): −1.17rbc canadian open 2026, round 1 (Jun 11, 2026): −2.28rbc canadian open 2026, round 2 (Jun 11, 2026): −2.74john deere classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 2, 2026): −2.08john deere classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 2, 2026): −0.47isco championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 9, 2026): +0.75isco championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 9, 2026): +3.56isco championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 9, 2026): −6.01isco championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 9, 2026): −0.86corales puntacana championship 2026, round 1 (Jul 16, 2026): +1.59corales puntacana championship 2026, round 2 (Jul 16, 2026): −1.58corales puntacana championship 2026, round 3 (Jul 16, 2026): +0.27corales puntacana championship 2026, round 4 (Jul 16, 2026): +1.023m open 2026, round 1 (Jul 23, 2026): +0.203m open 2026, round 2 (Jul 23, 2026): −2.92rocket classic 2026, round 1 (Jul 30, 2026): +1.37rocket classic 2026, round 2 (Jul 30, 2026): +4.40rocket classic 2026, round 3 (Jul 30, 2026): +1.88rocket classic 2026, round 4 (Jul 30, 2026): −2.39wyndham championship 2026, round 1 (Aug 6, 2026): −0.16wyndham championship 2026, round 2 (Aug 6, 2026): +2.46wyndham championship 2026, round 3 (Aug 6, 2026): +1.60wyndham championship 2026, round 4 (Aug 6, 2026): −5.64biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 1 (Sep 17, 2026): −2.41biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 2 (Sep 17, 2026): +2.93biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 3 (Sep 17, 2026): +3.21biltmore championship asheville 2026, round 4 (Sep 17, 2026): +0.68bank of utah championship 2026, round 1 (Oct 1, 2026): −1.09bank of utah championship 2026, round 2 (Oct 1, 2026): +1.88bank of utah championship 2026, round 3 (Oct 1, 2026): +2.51bank of utah championship 2026, round 4 (Oct 1, 2026): +2.3924-round +0.22oldermost recent

By round of the tournament

Strokes gained in each round of an event, over the most recent rounds. A player who fades or closes shows it here.

−1.13
Round 1+0.47
Round 2+0.98
Round 3−0.98
Round 4

Results

EventFinishTo parSG / round
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT21−17+1.42
Biltmore Championship AshevilleT33−14+1.10
Wyndham ChampionshipT77−1−0.43
Rocket ClassicT38−7+1.31
3M OpenMC+1−1.36
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT42−9+0.32
ISCO ChampionshipT59−3−0.64
John Deere ClassicMCE−1.27
RBC Canadian OpenMC+4−2.51
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT47−11+0.54
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicT45−5+0.28
Valero Texas OpenMCE−0.64
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC+13−6.91
Valspar ChampionshipT55+1+0.49
Puerto Rico OpenMC−1−0.39
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC+3−0.97
Farmers Insurance OpenT30−8+1.47
The American ExpressMCE−2.82
PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry−4+0.35
The RSM ClassicMC−5−0.50
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipMC+3−1.80
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT31−16+0.90
Bank of Utah ChampionshipT3−16+2.64
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMCE−1.58
Procore ChampionshipMC+6−2.97
Wyndham ChampionshipT44−4+0.69
3M OpenMC+1−2.37
ISCO ChampionshipMC+2−0.09
John Deere ClassicT44−8+0.54
Rocket ClassicT46−11+0.64
U.S. OpenMC+27−8.73
RBC Canadian Open68+1−1.60
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+2−0.60
PGA ChampionshipT60+6+0.40
ONEflight Myrtle Beach ClassicMC−1−0.33
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonMC−4+0.32
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT31−6+0.85
Valero Texas OpenMC+1−0.67
Texas Children's Houston OpenMC+1−1.16
Valspar ChampionshipMC+5−0.93
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT38−1+1.55
Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesMC−3−0.17
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldMC−2−0.67
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmT62−4−0.07
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+7−1.96
The American ExpressT3−22+3.59
Sony Open in HawaiiT37−8+0.96
The RSM ClassicMC+4−1.76
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT5−14+2.36
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT2−23+3.77
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT56−2−0.52
Shriners Children's OpenMCE−0.90
Black Desert ChampionshipMC−4−0.03
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT28−15+1.26
Procore ChampionshipT7−12+2.40
Wyndham ChampionshipT33−8+1.32
3M OpenT33−8+1.45
Genesis Scottish OpenT67−2−0.40
John Deere ClassicT73−6−0.68
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT25−10+1.32
U.S. OpenT50+9+1.03
RBC Canadian OpenMC+4−1.24
Charles Schwab ChallengeMC+6−1.84
Myrtle Beach ClassicMC−1−0.60
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonT24−15+1.29
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT4−18+2.96
Valero Texas OpenT25−4+1.62
Texas Children's Houston OpenT28−5+1.46
Valspar Championship+6−5.71
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+2−0.55
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardT36+2+0.71
Cognizant ClassicMC+1−0.77
Mexico Open at VidantaT3−14+2.41
WM Phoenix OpenT53−4+0.32
Farmers Insurance OpenT43−3+0.79
The American ExpressT39−17+1.16
Sony Open in HawaiiT74−1−0.76
The RSM ClassicMC−3−0.06
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT20−15+1.33
World Wide Technology ChampionshipT23−17+1.08
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPT41+3+0.05
Shriners Children's OpenMCE−1.16
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipMC−2−1.25
Fortinet ChampionshipT45−6+0.54
Wyndham ChampionshipMC+5−2.72
3M OpenT43−8+0.77
Barbasol ChampionshipT44−9+0.08
Rocket Mortgage Classic8−19+2.78
Travelers ChampionshipMC−1−0.32
RBC Canadian OpenT25−7+1.33
The Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+7−1.44
Charles Schwab ChallengeT57+5+0.01
AT&T Byron NelsonT43−12+0.73
Wells Fargo ChampionshipMCE+0.68
RBC Heritage71+4−1.24
Valero Texas Open70+7−1.54
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipMC+1−1.09
Valspar ChampionshipMC+3−0.47
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipMC+7−1.69
Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardMC+6−1.64
The Genesis InvitationalMC+2−0.07
WM Phoenix OpenT50−1+0.54
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC+2−0.76
Farmers Insurance OpenMC+1+0.32
The American ExpressT41−15+1.07
The RSM ClassicMCE−1.29
Cadence Bank Houston OpenMC+2−0.57
World Wide Technology Championship at MayakobaT56−7+0.02
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT8−15+2.09
Shriners Children's OpenT20−14+1.48
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipT45−6+0.55
Fortinet ChampionshipT4−12+2.63
Wyndham ChampionshipT36−7+1.05
Rocket Mortgage ClassicT30−11+1.10
3M OpenMC+5−1.70
Barbasol ChampionshipT8−17+1.86
John Deere ClassicT51−7+0.33
Travelers ChampionshipMC+2−1.33
RBC Canadian OpenT35−3+1.06
the Memorial Tournament pres. by WorkdayMC+6−1.56
AT&T Byron NelsonT46−14+0.83
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT31+2+1.50
Mexico OpenT64−2−0.32
Valero Texas OpenMC+9−4.37
Corales Puntacana ChampionshipT15−10+1.34
Puerto Rico OpenT35−7+0.60
The Honda ClassicT64+6+0.04
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMC+1−1.08
Farmers Insurance OpenMC−1−0.39
The American ExpressMC+4−2.93
Sony Open in Hawaii64−3−1.13
The RSM ClassicMC−3+0.36
Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipT17−9+1.78
Fortinet ChampionshipMC+4−2.66
Wells Fargo ChampionshipT59+3−0.04
The McGladrey ClassicMC+1−0.98
the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide InsuranceMC+5−2.61

MC is a missed cut. T marks a tied finish.

Generated 2026-11-04T14:15:35Z. Everything here comes from scores alone; see the stats pages for what each number measures and what we can't measure.

NFL
Tennis
WNBA
Soccer
Golf
CFB
NBA
World Cup
MLB
More
For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI