#112

UConn Huskies

FBS Independents · 0-0

Pratt & Whitney Stadium · 40,000 seats

UConn Huskies rank #112 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.039 points per play (Elo 1557), a 0-0 record in the FBS Independents, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.039
#112 in FBS
Offense
-0.027
higher is better
Defense
+0.012
lower is better
SOS
-0.038
mean opp. rating
Elo
1557
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind UConn's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.039

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.033

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.072

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production2%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.14σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+6.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsLafayetteSep 5
2vsMarylandSep 12
3@Southern MissSep 19
4@Miami (OH)Sep 26
5vsSyracuseOct 3
6@TempleOct 10
8vsMassachusettsOct 23
9@Air ForceOct 31
10vsNorth CarolinaNov 7
11vsJames MadisonNov 14
12vsOld DominionNov 21
13@WyomingNov 28