#97

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Mid-American · 0-0

Yager Stadium · 24,286 seats

Miami (OH) RedHawks rank #97 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.023 points per play (Elo 1519), a 0-0 record in the Mid-American, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.023
#97 in FBS
Offense
-0.015
higher is better
Defense
+0.008
lower is better
SOS
-0.041
mean opp. rating
Elo
1519
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Miami (OH)'s number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.023

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.002

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.025

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production14%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.37σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+1.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@PittsburghSep 5
2vsHoly CrossSep 12
3@CincinnatiSep 19
4vsUConnSep 26
5vsBowling GreenOct 3
6@MassachusettsOct 10
7vsAkronOct 17
8@Central MichiganOct 24
10vsBuffaloNov 4
11vsOhioNov 11
12@Kent StateNov 18
13@Western MichiganNov 24