#128

Akron Zips

Mid-American · 5-7

InfoCision Stadium · 30,000 seats

Akron Zips rank #128 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.069 points per play (Elo 1367), a 5-7 record in the Mid-American, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 6-6 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.069
#128 of 136
Elo
1367
Off EPA/play
-0.058
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.014
lower is better
Off success
-0.021
Def success
+0.002
Off explosive
+0.007
Def explosive
+0.003
Rush EPA
-0.059
offense
Pass EPA
-0.051
offense
Pts / drive
1.79
11.2 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.39
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Akron's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.062

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production37%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.74σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Ben Finley7 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.08Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsWyomingL 010-1.9+5.0L
2@NebraskaL 068-27.1-33.8L
3@UABL 2831-13.7-12.5W
4vsDuquesneW 517-8.7-10.5W
5@ToledoL 345-15.5-21.5L
6vsCentral MichiganW 2822+4.7+7.0W
7vsMiami (OH)L 720+15.2+11.5L
8@Ball StateL 2842-1.5+2.0L
9@BuffaloW 2416-14.5-10.0W
11vsMassachusettsW 4410-15.5-12.5W
12vsKent StateL 3542-11.0-7.5L
13@Bowling GreenW 1916-4.8-2.5W

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI