College Football
#129

Akron Zips

Mid-American · 1-6

InfoCision Stadium · 30,000 seats

Akron Zips rank #129 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.055 points per play (Elo 1311), a 1-6 record in the Mid-American, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.055
#129 in FBS
Offense
-0.014
higher is better
Defense
+0.041
lower is better
SOS
-0.001
mean opp. rating
Elo
1311
Off EPA/play
-0.019
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.061
lower is better
Off success
-0.001
Def success
+0.011
Off explosive
+0.008
Def explosive
+0.005
Rush EPA
-0.003
offense
Pass EPA
-0.029
offense
Pts / drive
1.55
10.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
1.84
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Akron's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.027

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.074

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.048

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production92%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.92σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.06Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@Wake ForestL 16–38———
2vsRobert MorrisW 45–10———
3@MinnesotaL 7–41———
4vsUNLVL 10–38———
5@Central MichiganL 17–41———
6vsEastern MichiganL 23–25———
7@Miami (OH)L 14–34———
8@Kent StateOct 24———
10vsOhioNov 4———
11vsWestern MichiganNov 11———
12@MassachusettsNov 18———
13vsBuffaloNov 27———