#101

Akron Zips

Mid-American · 0-0

InfoCision Stadium · 30,000 seats

Akron Zips rank #101 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.027 points per play (Elo 1419), a 0-0 record in the Mid-American, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.027
#101 in FBS
Offense
-0.009
higher is better
Defense
+0.018
lower is better
SOS
-0.032
mean opp. rating
Elo
1419
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Akron's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.027

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.074

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.048

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production92%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.92σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@Wake ForestSep 3
2vsRobert MorrisSep 12
3@MinnesotaSep 19
4vsUNLVSep 26
5@Central MichiganOct 3
6vsEastern MichiganOct 10
7@Miami (OH)Oct 17
8@Kent StateOct 24
10vsOhioNov 4
11vsWestern MichiganNov 11
12@MassachusettsNov 18
13vsBuffaloNov 27