#73

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Mid-American · 1-0

Rynearson Stadium · 30,200 seats

Eastern Michigan Eagles rank #73 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.002 points per play (Elo 1441), a 1-0 record in the Mid-American, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.002
#73 in FBS
Offense
+0.003
higher is better
Defense
+0.005
lower is better
SOS
-0.037
mean opp. rating
Elo
1441
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Eastern Michigan's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.002

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.029

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.027

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production72%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.67σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-11.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsSacramento StateW 2817
1vsSan José StateSep 4
2@Michigan StateSep 12
3@WisconsinSep 19
4vsLindenwoodSep 26
5@MassachusettsOct 3
6@AkronOct 10
7vsToledoOct 17
8@OhioOct 24
10NCentral MichiganNov 4
12@Western MichiganNov 18
13vsKent StateNov 25