College Football
#131

Kent State Golden Flashes

Mid-American · 2-5

Dix Stadium · 25,319 seats

Kent State Golden Flashes rank #131 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.065 points per play (Elo 1365), a 2-5 record in the Mid-American, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.065
#131 in FBS
Offense
-0.053
higher is better
Defense
+0.011
lower is better
SOS
+0.001
mean opp. rating
Elo
1365
Off EPA/play
-0.085
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.003
lower is better
Off success
-0.039
Def success
+0.015
Off explosive
-0.020
Def explosive
-0.004
Rush EPA
-0.103
offense
Pass EPA
-0.059
offense
Pts / drive
1.24
9.1 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
1.58
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Kent State's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.038

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.062

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.024

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production64%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-1.10σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.06Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@South CarolinaL 0–57———
2vsWoffordW 36–15———
3@Ohio StateL 3–59———
4vsBall StateW 26–13———
5vsOhioL 10–13———
6@Western MichiganL 7–38———
7@South FloridaL 2–29———
8vsAkronOct 24———
9@Sacramento StateOct 31———
11@Bowling GreenNov 11———
12vsMiami (OH)Nov 18———
13@Eastern MichiganNov 25———