#110

Kent State Golden Flashes

Mid-American · 0-0

Dix Stadium · 25,319 seats

Kent State Golden Flashes rank #110 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.038 points per play (Elo 1388), a 0-0 record in the Mid-American, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.038
#110 in FBS
Offense
-0.016
higher is better
Defense
+0.021
lower is better
SOS
-0.010
mean opp. rating
Elo
1388
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Kent State's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.038

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.062

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.024

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production64%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-1.10σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@South CarolinaSep 5
2vsWoffordSep 12
3@Ohio StateSep 19
4vsBall StateSep 26
5vsOhioOct 3
6@Western MichiganOct 10
7@South FloridaOct 17
8vsAkronOct 24
9@Sacramento StateOct 31
11@Bowling GreenNov 11
12vsMiami (OH)Nov 18
13@Eastern MichiganNov 25