College Football
#39

South Carolina Gamecocks

SEC · 3-3

Williams-Brice Stadium · 80,250 seats

South Carolina Gamecocks rank #39 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.059 points per play (Elo 1577), a 3-3 record in the SEC, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.059
#39 in FBS
Offense
+0.044
higher is better
Defense
-0.014
lower is better
SOS
+0.055
mean opp. rating
Elo
1577
Off EPA/play
+0.053
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.007
lower is better
Off success
+0.015
Def success
-0.010
Off explosive
+0.010
Def explosive
-0.005
Rush EPA
+0.091
offense
Pass EPA
+0.010
offense
Pts / drive
2.67
10.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.22
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind South Carolina's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.070

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.069

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.002

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production69%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.40σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+2.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.070.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsKent StateW 57–0———
2vsTowsonW 45–9———
3vsMississippi StateL 34–41———
4@AlabamaL 18–49———
5vsKentuckyL 34–35———
6@FloridaW 38–19———
8vsTennesseeOct 24———
9@OklahomaOct 31———
10vsTexas A&MNov 7———
11@ArkansasNov 14———
12vsGeorgiaNov 21———
13@ClemsonNov 28———