#39

South Carolina Gamecocks

SEC · 4-8

Williams-Brice Stadium · 80,250 seats

South Carolina Gamecocks rank #39 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.077 points per play (Elo 1549), a 4-8 record in the SEC, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 6-6 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.077
#39 of 136
Elo
1549
Off EPA/play
+0.013
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.057
lower is better
Off success
-0.000
Def success
-0.013
Off explosive
+0.011
Def explosive
-0.006
Rush EPA
+0.009
offense
Pass EPA
+0.018
offense
Pts / drive
1.79
10.7 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.86
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind South Carolina's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.093

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production63%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.17σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-4.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

LaNorris Sellers7 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.090.00Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1NVirginia TechW 2411-13.7-7.5W
2vsSouth Carolina StateW 3810-33.1-42.8L
3vsVanderbiltL 731-11.2-3.0L
4@MissouriL 2029-5.4-10.0W
5vsKentuckyW 3513-10.4-5.5W
7@LSUL 1020-8.3-8.5L
8vsOklahomaL 726+1.2+4.5L
9vsAlabamaL 2229+9.8+11.5W
10@Ole MissL 1430-18.0-13.0L
12@Texas A&ML 3031-19.2-16.5W
13vsCoastal CarolinaW 517-11.5-24.0W
14vsClemsonL 1428+2.0-2.5L

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI