#26

Clemson Tigers

ACC · 0-0

Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · 81,500 seats

Clemson Tigers rank #26 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.072 points per play (Elo 1616), a 0-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.072
#26 in FBS
Offense
+0.035
higher is better
Defense
-0.037
lower is better
SOS
+0.015
mean opp. rating
Elo
1616
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Clemson's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.072

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.089

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.017

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production41%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.40σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.5 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@LSUSep 5
2vsGeorgia SouthernSep 12
3vsNorth CarolinaSep 19
4@CaliforniaSep 26
5vsMiamiOct 3
7vsCharleston SouthernOct 17
8vsVirginia TechOct 24
9@Florida StateOct 31
10@SyracuseNov 7
11vsGeorgia TechNov 14
12@DukeNov 21
13vsSouth CarolinaNov 28