College Football
#43

Clemson Tigers

ACC · 4-2

Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · 81,500 seats

Clemson Tigers rank #43 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.052 points per play (Elo 1616), a 4-2 record in the ACC, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.052
#43 in FBS
Offense
+0.000
higher is better
Defense
-0.052
lower is better
SOS
+0.047
mean opp. rating
Elo
1616
Off EPA/play
-0.034
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.067
lower is better
Off success
-0.014
Def success
-0.008
Off explosive
-0.011
Def explosive
-0.009
Rush EPA
-0.012
offense
Pass EPA
-0.073
offense
Pts / drive
2.09
10.6 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.49
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Clemson's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.072

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.089

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.017

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production41%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.40σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.5 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

T. Reynolds1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.070.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@LSUL 10–51———
2vsGeorgia SouthernW 22–7———
3vsNorth CarolinaW 28–20———
4@CaliforniaW 24–10———
5vsMiamiL 13–41———
7vsCharleston SouthernW 37–0———
8vsVirginia TechOct 24———
9@Florida StateOct 31———
10@SyracuseNov 7———
11vsGeorgia TechNov 14———
12@DukeNov 21———
13vsSouth CarolinaNov 28———