#6

Miami Hurricanes

ACC · 0-0

Hard Rock Stadium · 64,767 seats

Miami Hurricanes rank #6 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.123 points per play (Elo 1761), a 0-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.123
#6 in FBS
Offense
+0.062
higher is better
Defense
-0.060
lower is better
SOS
+0.019
mean opp. rating
Elo
1761
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Miami's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.123

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.195

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.072

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production37%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.57σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-4.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@StanfordSep 5
2vsFlorida A&MSep 11
3@Wake ForestSep 18
4vsCentral MichiganSep 26
5@ClemsonOct 3
7vsFlorida StateOct 17
8vsPittsburghOct 24
9@North CarolinaOct 31
10@Notre DameNov 8
11vsDukeNov 14
12vsVirginia TechNov 21
13vsBoston CollegeNov 28