#119

Stanford Cardinal

ACC · 1-0

Stanford Stadium · 50,424 seats

Stanford Cardinal rank #119 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.049 points per play (Elo 1498), a 1-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.049
#119 in FBS
Offense
-0.029
higher is better
Defense
+0.021
lower is better
SOS
+0.038
mean opp. rating
Elo
1498
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Stanford's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.049

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.045

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.005

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production21%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.25σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-5.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsHawai'iW 3727
1vsMiamiSep 5
3@DukeSep 19
4vsGeorgia TechSep 27
5@Wake ForestOct 3
6@Notre DameOct 10
7vsElonOct 17
8vsNC StateOct 24
9@LouisvilleOct 31
11@Virginia TechNov 14
12@CaliforniaNov 21
13vsSMUNov 28