College Football
#130

Stanford Cardinal

ACC · 3-4

Stanford Stadium · 50,424 seats

Stanford Cardinal rank #130 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.060 points per play (Elo 1469), a 3-4 record in the ACC, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.060
#130 in FBS
Offense
-0.017
higher is better
Defense
+0.043
lower is better
SOS
+0.060
mean opp. rating
Elo
1469
Off EPA/play
-0.007
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.063
lower is better
Off success
-0.015
Def success
+0.011
Off explosive
-0.003
Def explosive
+0.003
Rush EPA
-0.009
offense
Pass EPA
0.000
offense
Pts / drive
1.55
9.6 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.00
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Stanford's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.049

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.045

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.005

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production21%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.25σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-5.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.08Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsHawai'iW 37–27———
1vsMiamiL 6–45———
3@DukeL 7–35———
4vsGeorgia TechW 34–27———
5@Wake ForestL 3–57———
6@Notre DameL 7–58———
7vsElonW 34–7———
8vsNC StateOct 24———
9@LouisvilleOct 31———
11@Virginia TechNov 14———
12@CaliforniaNov 21———
13vsSMUNov 28———