College Football
#71

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

ACC · 2-4

Bobby Dodd Stadium · 55,000 seats

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets rank #71 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.024 points per play (Elo 1513), a 2-4 record in the ACC, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.024
#71 in FBS
Offense
+0.032
higher is better
Defense
+0.008
lower is better
SOS
+0.058
mean opp. rating
Elo
1513
Off EPA/play
+0.049
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.037
lower is better
Off success
+0.021
Def success
+0.002
Off explosive
+0.020
Def explosive
-0.001
Rush EPA
+0.040
offense
Pass EPA
+0.064
offense
Pts / drive
2.52
10.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.78
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Georgia Tech's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.037

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.086

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.049

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production13%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.59σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-0.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

A. Mendoza1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.040.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsColoradoL 13–14———
2vsTennesseeL 24–45———
3vsMercerW 44–11———
4@StanfordL 27–34———
6vsDukeW 28–25———
7@Virginia TechL 24–34———
8vsBoston CollegeOct 24———
9@PittsburghOct 31———
10vsLouisvilleNov 7———
11@ClemsonNov 14———
12vsWake ForestNov 21———
13@GeorgiaNov 28———