#43

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

ACC · 0-0

Bobby Dodd Stadium · 55,000 seats

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets rank #43 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.037 points per play (Elo 1577), a 0-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.037
#43 in FBS
Offense
+0.016
higher is better
Defense
-0.021
lower is better
SOS
+0.019
mean opp. rating
Elo
1577
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Georgia Tech's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.037

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.086

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.049

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production13%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.59σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-0.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsColoradoSep 4
2vsTennesseeSep 12
3vsMercerSep 19
4@StanfordSep 27
6vsDukeOct 10
7@Virginia TechOct 17
8vsBoston CollegeOct 24
9@PittsburghOct 31
10vsLouisvilleNov 7
11@ClemsonNov 14
12vsWake ForestNov 21
13@GeorgiaNov 28