#96

Boston College Eagles

ACC · 0-0

Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · 44,500 seats

Boston College Eagles rank #96 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.023 points per play (Elo 1454), a 0-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.023
#96 in FBS
Offense
-0.015
higher is better
Defense
+0.008
lower is better
SOS
+0.035
mean opp. rating
Elo
1454
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Boston College's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.023

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.024

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.001

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production16%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.09σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@CincinnatiSep 5
2vsRutgersSep 11
3vsMaineSep 19
4vsVirginia TechSep 26
5@SMUOct 3
7vsPittsburghOct 17
8@Georgia TechOct 24
9@DukeOct 31
10vsFlorida StateNov 7
11@Notre DameNov 14
12vsSyracuseNov 21
13@MiamiNov 28