College Football
#97

Boston College Eagles

ACC · 3-3

Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · 44,500 seats

Boston College Eagles rank #97 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.004 points per play (Elo 1466), a 3-3 record in the ACC, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.004
#97 in FBS
Offense
-0.022
higher is better
Defense
-0.018
lower is better
SOS
+0.057
mean opp. rating
Elo
1466
Off EPA/play
-0.029
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.043
lower is better
Off success
-0.003
Def success
-0.011
Off explosive
+0.002
Def explosive
-0.017
Rush EPA
-0.013
offense
Pass EPA
-0.032
offense
Pts / drive
1.81
10.9 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.36
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Boston College's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.023

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.024

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.001

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production16%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.09σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-3.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.02Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@CincinnatiL 15–34———
2vsRutgersW 28–21———
3vsMaineW 22–16———
4vsVirginia TechL 14–21———
5@SMUL 16–25———
7vsPittsburghW 27–21———
8@Georgia TechOct 24———
9@DukeOct 31———
10vsFlorida StateNov 7———
11@Notre DameNov 14———
12vsSyracuseNov 21———
13@MiamiNov 28———