#82

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Big Ten · 0-0

SHI Stadium · 52,454 seats

Rutgers Scarlet Knights rank #82 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.010 points per play (Elo 1529), a 0-0 record in the Big Ten, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.010
#82 in FBS
Offense
-0.007
higher is better
Defense
+0.003
lower is better
SOS
+0.007
mean opp. rating
Elo
1529
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Rutgers's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.010

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.036

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.027

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production44%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.27σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-0.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsMassachusettsSep 3
2@Boston CollegeSep 11
3vsUSCSep 19
4vsHowardSep 25
5vsIndianaOct 4
7@MarylandOct 17
8@NorthwesternOct 24
9vsMichiganOct 31
10@WisconsinNov 7
11vsNebraskaNov 14
12@Penn StateNov 21
13vsMichigan StateNov 28