College Football
#80

Maryland Terrapins

Big Ten · 2-5

SECU Stadium · 51,802 seats

Maryland Terrapins rank #80 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.016 points per play (Elo 1396), a 2-5 record in the Big Ten, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.016
#80 in FBS
Offense
-0.004
higher is better
Defense
-0.020
lower is better
SOS
+0.044
mean opp. rating
Elo
1396
Off EPA/play
-0.025
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.021
lower is better
Off success
-0.003
Def success
-0.001
Off explosive
+0.002
Def explosive
-0.004
Rush EPA
+0.006
offense
Pass EPA
-0.044
offense
Pts / drive
2.29
10.3 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.88
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Maryland's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.038

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.052

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.014

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production54%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.35σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-1.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

M. Washington1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.050.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsHamptonW 62–0———
2@UConnW 38–14———
3vsVirginia TechL 26–35———
4vsUCLAL 3–54———
5@NebraskaL 23–48———
6@Ohio StateL 16–45———
7vsRutgersL 30–37———
9vsIllinoisOct 31———
10@PurdueNov 7———
11vsWisconsinNov 14———
12@USCNov 21———
13vsPenn StateNov 28———