College Football
#12

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Big Ten · 5-2

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · 85,458 seats

Nebraska Cornhuskers rank #12 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.109 points per play (Elo 1640), a 5-2 record in the Big Ten, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.109
#12 in FBS
Offense
+0.045
higher is better
Defense
-0.064
lower is better
SOS
+0.055
mean opp. rating
Elo
1640
Off EPA/play
+0.070
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.103
lower is better
Off success
+0.018
Def success
-0.043
Off explosive
+0.009
Def explosive
-0.016
Rush EPA
+0.093
offense
Pass EPA
+0.064
offense
Pts / drive
2.92
10.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.50
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Nebraska's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.034

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.028

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.006

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production46%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.85σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-1.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.110.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsOhioW 49–21———
2vsBowling GreenW 56–7———
3vsNorth DakotaW 34–7———
4@Michigan StateW 31–13———
5vsMarylandW 48–23———
6vsIndianaL 17–20———
7@OregonL 14–17———
9vsWashingtonNov 1———
10@IllinoisNov 7———
11@RutgersNov 14———
12vsOhio StateNov 21———
13@IowaNov 27———