#56

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Big Ten · 7-6

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · 85,458 seats

Nebraska Cornhuskers rank #56 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.049 points per play (Elo 1534), a 7-6 record in the Big Ten, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 4-8 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.049
#56 of 136
Elo
1534
Off EPA/play
+0.022
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.014
lower is better
Off success
+0.031
Def success
-0.017
Off explosive
-0.002
Def explosive
-0.005
Rush EPA
+0.025
offense
Pass EPA
+0.026
offense
Pts / drive
2.48
9.8 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.20
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Nebraska's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.074

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production59%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.09σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-20.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Dylan Raiola7 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.090.00Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1NCincinnatiW 2017+0.9+6.0L
2vsAkronW 680-27.1-33.8W
3vsHouston ChristianW 597-33.7-48.5W
4vsMichiganL 2730-3.2+1.5L
6vsMichigan StateW 3827-11.6-12.5L
7@MarylandW 3431+0.1+7.0L
8@MinnesotaL 624+1.5+7.0L
9vsNorthwesternW 2821-10.5-7.0push
10vsUSCL 1721+7.0+4.5W
11@UCLAW 2821+5.3-2.0W
13@Penn StateL 1037-7.9-7.0L
14vsIowaL 1640+4.0+5.5L
17NUtahL 2244-15.7-13.5L

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI