#46

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Big Ten · 0-0

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) · 85,458 seats

Nebraska Cornhuskers rank #46 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.034 points per play (Elo 1536), a 0-0 record in the Big Ten, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.034
#46 in FBS
Offense
+0.015
higher is better
Defense
-0.018
lower is better
SOS
+0.034
mean opp. rating
Elo
1536
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Nebraska's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.034

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.028

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.006

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production46%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.85σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-1.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsOhioSep 5
2vsBowling GreenSep 12
3vsNorth DakotaSep 19
4@Michigan StateSep 26
5vsMarylandOct 3
6vsIndianaOct 10
7@OregonOct 17
9vsWashingtonOct 31
10@IllinoisNov 7
11@RutgersNov 14
12vsOhio StateNov 21
13@IowaNov 27