#12

Indiana Hoosiers

Big Ten · 0-0

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · 52,656 seats

Indiana Hoosiers rank #12 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.106 points per play (Elo 1844), a 0-0 record in the Big Ten, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.106
#12 in FBS
Offense
+0.055
higher is better
Defense
-0.051
lower is better
SOS
+0.035
mean opp. rating
Elo
1844
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Indiana's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.106

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.245

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.139

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production17%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.47σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+1.5 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsNorth TexasSep 5
2vsHowardSep 12
3vsWestern KentuckySep 19
4vsNorthwesternSep 26
5@RutgersOct 4
6@NebraskaOct 10
7vsOhio StateOct 17
8@MichiganOct 24
9vsMinnesotaOct 31
11vsUSCNov 14
12@WashingtonNov 21
13vsPurdueNov 28