#88

UCLA Bruins

Big Ten · 0-0

Rose Bowl · 88,565 seats

UCLA Bruins rank #88 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.018 points per play (Elo 1477), a 0-0 record in the Big Ten, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.018
#88 in FBS
Offense
-0.014
higher is better
Defense
+0.004
lower is better
SOS
+0.037
mean opp. rating
Elo
1477
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind UCLA's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.018

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.024

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.006

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production57%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.75σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+11.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@CaliforniaSep 6
2vsSan Diego StateSep 12
3vsPurdueSep 20
4@MarylandSep 26
6@OregonOct 10
7vsWisconsinOct 17
8vsMichigan StateOct 24
9vsNevadaOct 31
10@MinnesotaNov 7
11vsIllinoisNov 14
12@MichiganNov 21
13vsUSCNov 28