College Football
#21

Washington Huskies

Big Ten · 4-3

Husky Stadium · 70,138 seats

Washington Huskies rank #21 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.093 points per play (Elo 1636), a 4-3 record in the Big Ten, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.093
#21 in FBS
Offense
+0.040
higher is better
Defense
-0.053
lower is better
SOS
+0.050
mean opp. rating
Elo
1636
Off EPA/play
+0.022
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.053
lower is better
Off success
+0.012
Def success
-0.009
Off explosive
+0.015
Def explosive
-0.006
Rush EPA
-0.018
offense
Pass EPA
+0.048
offense
Pts / drive
2.49
10.9 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.10
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Washington's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.113

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.186

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.073

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production54%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.78σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-7.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.110.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsWashington StateW 24–10———
2vsUtah StateW 16–14———
3vsEastern WashingtonW 48–16———
4vsMinnesotaL 24–27———
5@USCL 21–25———
6vsIowaL 24–41———
7@PurdueW 38–26———
9@NebraskaNov 1———
10vsPenn StateNov 7———
11@Michigan StateNov 14———
12vsIndianaNov 21———
13@OregonNov 28———