#14

Washington Huskies

Big Ten · 9-4

Husky Stadium · 70,138 seats

Washington Huskies rank #14 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.130 points per play (Elo 1719), a 9-4 record in the Big Ten, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 7-6 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.130
#14 of 136
Elo
1719
Off EPA/play
+0.094
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.070
lower is better
Off success
+0.047
Def success
-0.029
Off explosive
+0.018
Def explosive
-0.014
Rush EPA
+0.115
offense
Pass EPA
+0.073
offense
Pts / drive
3.04
9.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.64
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Washington's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.060

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production42%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.44σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-11.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.130.00Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsColorado StateW 3821-16.6-22.5L
2vsUC DavisW 7010-28.4-28.8W
4@Washington StateW 5924+11.7+21.0W
5vsOhio StateL 624+10.2+9.5L
6@MarylandW 2420+3.1+5.5L
7vsRutgersW 3819-13.1-9.5W
8@MichiganL 724+0.4-4.0L
9vsIllinoisW 4225-9.6-3.5W
11@WisconsinL 1013+17.4+10.5L
12vsPurdueW 4913-26.7-14.5W
13@UCLAW 4814+14.4+10.5W
14vsOregonL 1426+10.5+6.5L
17NBoise StateW 3810-6.9-10.0W

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI