College Football
#96

Washington State Cougars

Pac-12 · 1-6

Gesa Field · 32,952 seats

Washington State Cougars rank #96 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.004 points per play (Elo 1438), a 1-6 record in the Pac-12, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.004
#96 in FBS
Offense
-0.017
higher is better
Defense
-0.013
lower is better
SOS
+0.029
mean opp. rating
Elo
1438
Off EPA/play
-0.048
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.020
lower is better
Off success
-0.024
Def success
-0.008
Off explosive
-0.015
Def explosive
-0.000
Rush EPA
-0.000
offense
Pass EPA
-0.080
offense
Pts / drive
1.63
11.1 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
1.90
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Washington State's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.024

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.057

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.033

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production91%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.31σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-10.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.02-0.01Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@WashingtonL 10–24———
2@Kansas StateL 7–34———
3vsDuquesneW 48–7———
4vsArizonaL 24–34———
5vsFresno StateL 6–26———
6@Utah StateL 16–17———
7@Oregon StateL 30–48———
8vsBoise StateOct 24———
9@San Diego StateOct 31———
11vsColorado StateNov 15———
12@Texas StateNov 21———