#52

Washington State Cougars

Pac-12 · 0-0

Gesa Field · 32,952 seats

Washington State Cougars rank #52 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.024 points per play (Elo 1564), a 0-0 record in the Pac-12, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.024
#52 in FBS
Offense
+0.020
higher is better
Defense
-0.004
lower is better
SOS
+0.006
mean opp. rating
Elo
1564
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Washington State's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.024

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.057

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.033

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production91%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.31σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-10.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@WashingtonSep 6
2@Kansas StateSep 12
3vsDuquesneSep 19
4vsArizonaSep 26
5vsFresno StateOct 4
6@Utah StateOct 10
7@Oregon StateOct 17
8vsBoise StateOct 24
9@San Diego StateOct 31
11vsColorado StateNov 15
12@Texas StateNov 21