College Football
#13

Utah Utes

Big 12 · 6-0

Rice-Eccles Stadium · 51,444 seats

Utah Utes rank #13 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.106 points per play (Elo 1780), a 6-0 record in the Big 12, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.106
#13 in FBS
Offense
+0.058
higher is better
Defense
-0.047
lower is better
SOS
+0.034
mean opp. rating
Elo
1780
Off EPA/play
+0.066
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.059
lower is better
Off success
+0.038
Def success
-0.034
Off explosive
+0.010
Def explosive
-0.012
Rush EPA
+0.046
offense
Pass EPA
+0.087
offense
Pts / drive
3.59
9.7 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.13
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Utah's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.086

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.210

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.125

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production68%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.17σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-4.3 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

D. Dampier1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.110.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsIdahoW 66–14———
2vsArkansasW 43–10———
3vsUtah StateW 33–0———
4@Iowa StateW 31–17———
6vsKansasW 41–24———
7@ColoradoW 27–24———
8vsHoustonOct 25———
9@CincinnatiOct 31———
10vsBYUNov 7———
11@ArizonaNov 14———
12@TCUNov 21———
13vsWest VirginiaNov 28———