#51

Kansas Jayhawks

Big 12 · 5-7

Memorial Stadium · 47,000 seats

Kansas Jayhawks rank #51 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.054 points per play (Elo 1508), a 5-7 record in the Big 12, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 4-7 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.054
#51 of 136
Elo
1508
Off EPA/play
+0.072
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.013
lower is better
Off success
+0.051
Def success
-0.018
Off explosive
+0.024
Def explosive
+0.000
Rush EPA
+0.085
offense
Pass EPA
+0.055
offense
Pts / drive
2.69
9.9 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.67
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Kansas's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.043

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production41%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.34σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+8.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.070.00Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsFresno StateW 317-15.8-14.0W
1vsWagnerW 467-39.1-46.0L
2@MissouriL 3142-1.1-6.5L
4vsWest VirginiaW 4110-12.2-12.5W
5vsCincinnatiL 3437-7.2-5.5L
6@UCFW 2720+2.6+4.0W
7@Texas TechL 1742-9.3-13.5L
9vsKansas StateL 1742-7.1-3.5L
10vsOklahoma StateW 3821-25.8-24.5L
11@ArizonaL 2024-0.6-5.5W
13@Iowa StateL 1438-1.2-3.5L
14vsUtahL 2131+14.3+10.0push

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI