#65

Kansas Jayhawks

Big 12 · 0-0

Memorial Stadium · 47,000 seats

Kansas Jayhawks rank #65 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.012 points per play (Elo 1517), a 0-0 record in the Big 12, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.012
#65 in FBS
Offense
+0.004
higher is better
Defense
-0.009
lower is better
SOS
+0.003
mean opp. rating
Elo
1517
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Kansas's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.012

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.059

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.047

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production18%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.09σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+4.4 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsLong Island UniversitySep 5
2vsMissouriSep 12
3NArizona StateSep 19
5vsMiddle TennesseeOct 3
6@UtahOct 10
7@Kansas StateOct 17
8vsBaylorOct 24
9@TCUOct 31
10vsUCFNov 7
11@West VirginiaNov 14
12vsBYUNov 21
13@Oklahoma StateNov 28