College Football
#54

Kansas Jayhawks

Big 12 · 2-4

Memorial Stadium · 47,000 seats

Kansas Jayhawks rank #54 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.046 points per play (Elo 1475), a 2-4 record in the Big 12, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.046
#54 in FBS
Offense
+0.017
higher is better
Defense
-0.029
lower is better
SOS
+0.035
mean opp. rating
Elo
1475
Off EPA/play
+0.031
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.049
lower is better
Off success
+0.013
Def success
-0.033
Off explosive
+0.020
Def explosive
-0.014
Rush EPA
+0.043
offense
Pass EPA
+0.010
offense
Pts / drive
2.58
10.5 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.00
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Kansas's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.011

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.059

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.048

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production18%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.09σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+5.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.050.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsLong Island UniversityW 51–6———
2vsMissouriL 21–38———
3NArizona StateL 17–24———
5vsMiddle TennesseeW 55–0———
6@UtahL 24–41———
7@Kansas StateL 24–35———
8vsBaylorOct 24———
9@TCUOct 31———
10vsUCFNov 7———
11@West VirginiaNov 14———
12vsBYUNov 21———
13@Oklahoma StateNov 28———