#137

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Big 12 · 0-0

Boone Pickens Stadium · 55,509 seats

Oklahoma State Cowboys rank #137 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.099 points per play (Elo 1365), a 0-0 record in the Big 12, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.099
#137 in FBS
Offense
-0.063
higher is better
Defense
+0.036
lower is better
SOS
+0.012
mean opp. rating
Elo
1365
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Oklahoma State's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.099

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.110

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.010

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production0%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.01σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-8.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@TulsaSep 5
2vsOregonSep 12
3vsMurray StateSep 19
4@West VirginiaSep 26
6vsUCFOct 10
7@HoustonOct 17
8vsColoradoOct 24
9@Iowa StateOct 31
10@Kansas StateNov 7
11vsTexas TechNov 14
12@Arizona StateNov 21
13vsKansasNov 28