#24

Missouri Tigers

SEC · 0-0

Memorial Stadium · 71,168 seats

Missouri Tigers rank #24 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.075 points per play (Elo 1614), a 0-0 record in the SEC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.075
#24 in FBS
Offense
+0.038
higher is better
Defense
-0.038
lower is better
SOS
+0.039
mean opp. rating
Elo
1614
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Missouri's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.075

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.128

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.052

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production42%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.00σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+2.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsArkansas-Pine BluffSep 4
2@KansasSep 12
3vsTroySep 19
4@Mississippi StateSep 26
5vsFloridaOct 3
6vsTexas A&MOct 10
7@Ole MissOct 17
9@ArkansasOct 31
10vsTexasNov 7
11@GeorgiaNov 14
12vsKentuckyNov 21
13vsOklahomaNov 28