College Football
#6

Georgia Bulldogs

SEC · 6-1

Sanford Stadium · 92,746 seats

Georgia Bulldogs rank #6 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.159 points per play (Elo 1823), a 6-1 record in the SEC, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.159
#6 in FBS
Offense
+0.094
higher is better
Defense
-0.065
lower is better
SOS
+0.046
mean opp. rating
Elo
1823
Off EPA/play
+0.117
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.063
lower is better
Off success
+0.058
Def success
-0.038
Off explosive
+0.028
Def explosive
-0.010
Rush EPA
+0.088
offense
Pass EPA
+0.142
offense
Pts / drive
3.62
9.0 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.26
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Georgia's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.134

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.142

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.008

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production69%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+2.44σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-5.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.160.00Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsTennessee StateW 63–3———
2vsWestern KentuckyW 70–20———
3@ArkansasW 45–17———
4vsOklahomaW 41–13———
5vsVanderbiltW 38–14———
6@AlabamaW 20–17———
7vsAuburnL 24–27———
9NFloridaOct 31———
10@Ole MissNov 7———
11vsMissouriNov 14———
12@South CarolinaNov 21———
13vsGeorgia TechNov 28———