#4

Georgia Bulldogs

SEC · 0-0

Sanford Stadium · 92,746 seats

Georgia Bulldogs rank #4 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.134 points per play (Elo 1779), a 0-0 record in the SEC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.134
#4 in FBS
Offense
+0.068
higher is better
Defense
-0.066
lower is better
SOS
+0.042
mean opp. rating
Elo
1779
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Georgia's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.134

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.142

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.008

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production69%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+2.44σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-5.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsTennessee StateSep 5
2vsWestern KentuckySep 12
3@ArkansasSep 19
4vsOklahomaSep 26
5vsVanderbiltOct 3
6@AlabamaOct 10
7vsAuburnOct 17
9NFloridaOct 31
10@Ole MissNov 7
11vsMissouriNov 14
12@South CarolinaNov 21
13vsGeorgia TechNov 28