#60

Auburn Tigers

SEC · 0-0

Jordan-Hare Stadium · 87,451 seats

Auburn Tigers rank #60 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.018 points per play (Elo 1543), a 0-0 record in the SEC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.018
#60 in FBS
Offense
-0.001
higher is better
Defense
-0.019
lower is better
SOS
+0.045
mean opp. rating
Elo
1543
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Auburn's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.018

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.099

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.081

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production14%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+1.15σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-0.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1NBaylorSep 5
2vsSouthern MissSep 12
3vsFloridaSep 19
4vsVanderbiltSep 26
5@TennesseeOct 3
7@GeorgiaOct 17
8vsLSUOct 24
9@Ole MissOct 31
10vsArkansasNov 7
11@Mississippi StateNov 14
12vsSamfordNov 21
13@AlabamaNov 28