College Football
#91

Syracuse Orange

ACC · 2-4

JMA Wireless Dome · 49,057 seats · dome

Syracuse Orange rank #91 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.001 points per play (Elo 1410), a 2-4 record in the ACC, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.001
#91 in FBS
Offense
-0.011
higher is better
Defense
-0.012
lower is better
SOS
+0.049
mean opp. rating
Elo
1410
Off EPA/play
+0.003
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.037
lower is better
Off success
+0.015
Def success
-0.005
Off explosive
+0.004
Def explosive
-0.001
Rush EPA
+0.019
offense
Pass EPA
-0.002
offense
Pts / drive
2.31
11.1 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.12
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Syracuse's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.038

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.119

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.081

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production35%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.54σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-8.4 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

S. Angeli1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.00-0.04Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsNew HampshireW 66–3———
2vsCaliforniaL 18–21———
3@PittsburghL 13–27———
5@UConnW 42–41———
6@VirginiaL 25–28———
7vsLouisvilleL 26–34———
8@North CarolinaOct 24———
9vsSMUOct 31———
10vsClemsonNov 7———
11@NC StateNov 14———
12@Boston CollegeNov 21———
13vsNotre DameNov 28———