#111

Syracuse Orange

ACC · 0-0

JMA Wireless Dome · 49,057 seats · dome

Syracuse Orange rank #111 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.038 points per play (Elo 1430), a 0-0 record in the ACC, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.038
#111 in FBS
Offense
-0.024
higher is better
Defense
+0.014
lower is better
SOS
+0.027
mean opp. rating
Elo
1430
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Syracuse's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.038

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.119

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.081

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production35%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent+0.54σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-8.4 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsNew HampshireSep 5
2vsCaliforniaSep 12
3@PittsburghSep 17
5@UConnOct 3
6@VirginiaOct 10
7vsLouisvilleOct 17
8@North CarolinaOct 24
9vsSMUOct 31
10vsClemsonNov 7
11@NC StateNov 14
12@Boston CollegeNov 21
13vsNotre DameNov 28