#87

Temple Owls

American Athletic · 0-0

Lincoln Financial Field · 69,879 seats

Temple Owls rank #87 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.016 points per play (Elo 1427), a 0-0 record in the American Athletic, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.016
#87 in FBS
Offense
-0.009
higher is better
Defense
+0.007
lower is better
SOS
-0.030
mean opp. rating
Elo
1427
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Temple's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.016

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.020

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.004

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production37%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.30σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsRhode IslandSep 5
2vsPenn StateSep 12
3@ToledoSep 19
4vsArmySep 25
5@South FloridaOct 3
6vsUConnOct 10
7vsCharlotteOct 17
9@East CarolinaOct 31
10@NavyNov 7
11vsUABNov 14
12vsRiceNov 20
13@MemphisNov 27