College Football
#93

Temple Owls

American Athletic · 2-5

Lincoln Financial Field · 69,879 seats

Temple Owls rank #93 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.001 points per play (Elo 1372), a 2-5 record in the American Athletic, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.001
#93 in FBS
Offense
+0.023
higher is better
Defense
+0.024
lower is better
SOS
+0.011
mean opp. rating
Elo
1372
Off EPA/play
+0.050
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.038
lower is better
Off success
+0.011
Def success
+0.013
Off explosive
+0.015
Def explosive
+0.004
Rush EPA
+0.072
offense
Pass EPA
+0.032
offense
Pts / drive
2.33
9.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.67
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Temple's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.016

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.020

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.004

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production37%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.30σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.2 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.00-0.02Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsRhode IslandW 38–14———
2vsPenn StateL 9–27———
3@ToledoL 48–49———
4vsArmyL 17–21———
5@South FloridaW 17–13———
6vsUConnL 20–34———
7vsCharlotteL 31–38———
9@East CarolinaOct 31———
10@NavyNov 7———
11vsUABNov 14———
12vsRiceNov 20———
13@MemphisNov 27———