College Football
#132

UTEP Miners

Mountain West · 1-6

Sun Bowl · 51,500 seats

UTEP Miners rank #132 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.072 points per play (Elo 1230), a 1-6 record in the Mountain West, and 46% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.072
#132 in FBS
Offense
-0.029
higher is better
Defense
+0.044
lower is better
SOS
+0.006
mean opp. rating
Elo
1230
Off EPA/play
-0.024
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.060
lower is better
Off success
-0.021
Def success
+0.033
Off explosive
-0.009
Def explosive
+0.005
Rush EPA
-0.003
offense
Pass EPA
-0.031
offense
Pts / drive
1.41
9.4 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
1.95
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind UTEP's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.058

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.050

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.008

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining46%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production-1%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.63σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+0.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.07Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@OklahomaL 0–51———
2vsTexas SouthernW 51–10———
3@MichiganL 17–52———
4vsOregon StateL 7–33———
5@New MexicoL 7–61———
6vsNevadaL 13–30———
7vsSan José StateL 11–24———
9@North Dakota StateOct 31———
10vsHawai'iNov 7———
11vsWyomingNov 14———
12@Air ForceNov 21———
13@Northern IllinoisNov 28———