#124

UTEP Miners

Mountain West · 0-0

Sun Bowl · 51,500 seats

UTEP Miners rank #124 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.058 points per play (Elo 1319), a 0-0 record in the Mountain West, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.058
#124 in FBS
Offense
-0.034
higher is better
Defense
+0.024
lower is better
SOS
-0.025
mean opp. rating
Elo
1319
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind UTEP's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.058

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.050

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.008

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production-1%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.63σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal+0.6 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@OklahomaSep 5
2vsTexas SouthernSep 13
3@MichiganSep 19
4vsOregon StateSep 27
5@New MexicoOct 3
6vsNevadaOct 10
7vsSan José StateOct 18
9@North Dakota StateOct 31
10vsHawai'iNov 7
11vsWyomingNov 14
12@Air ForceNov 21
13@Northern IllinoisNov 28