Nevada Wolf Pack
Mountain West · 0-0Mackay Stadium · 27,000 seats
Nevada Wolf Pack rank #126 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.059 points per play (Elo 1415), a 0-0 record in the Mountain West, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.
Ratings
Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.
What drives our rating
No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Nevada's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.
Where our rating started before a snap was played
Last season's final rating, for comparison
This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number
How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive
Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster
Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average
Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal
First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors
Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Our line | Market | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsWestern Kentucky | Sep 6 | — | — | — |
| 2 | vsMontana State | Sep 13 | — | — | — |
| 3 | @Middle Tennessee | Sep 19 | — | — | — |
| 4 | vsAir Force | Sep 26 | — | — | — |
| 6 | @UTEP | Oct 10 | — | — | — |
| 7 | @North Dakota State | Oct 17 | — | — | — |
| 8 | vsSan José State | Oct 24 | — | — | — |
| 9 | @UCLA | Oct 31 | — | — | — |
| 10 | vsNew Mexico | Nov 7 | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Northern Illinois | Nov 14 | — | — | — |
| 12 | vsHawai'i | Nov 21 | — | — | — |
| 13 | @UNLV | Nov 29 | — | — | — |