#67

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Sun Belt · 0-0

Joe Aillet Stadium · 28,019 seats

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs rank #67 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of +0.011 points per play (Elo 1500), a 0-0 record in the Sun Belt, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
+0.011
#67 in FBS
Offense
+0.011
higher is better
Defense
-0.000
lower is better
SOS
-0.019
mean opp. rating
Elo
1500
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Louisiana Tech's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.011

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating+0.024

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.013

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production64%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.95σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-10.8 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsNorthwestern StateSep 5
2@LSUSep 12
3@BaylorSep 19
5vsArmyOct 3
6vsLouisianaOct 10
7@UL MonroeOct 17
8vsOld DominionOct 24
9@South AlabamaOct 31
10@TroyNov 7
11vsSouthern MissNov 14
12vsArkansas StateNov 21
13@Georgia SouthernNov 28