#78

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Sun Belt · 0-0

Cajun Field · 41,426 seats

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns rank #78 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.004 points per play (Elo 1488), a 0-0 record in the Sun Belt, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.004
#78 in FBS
Offense
+0.002
higher is better
Defense
+0.007
lower is better
SOS
-0.035
mean opp. rating
Elo
1488
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Louisiana's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.004

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.040

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.036

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production92%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.60σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-2.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsLamarSep 6
2@USCSep 13
3vsUABSep 20
4@CharlotteSep 26
5vsArkansas StateOct 3
6@Louisiana TechOct 10
7vsTroyOct 17
8@Southern MissOct 24
10vsSouth AlabamaNov 7
11@UL MonroeNov 13
12vsCoastal CarolinaNov 21
13@Georgia StateNov 28