#135

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Sun Belt · 0-0

Brooks Stadium (SC) · 21,000 seats

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers rank #135 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.086 points per play (Elo 1344), a 0-0 record in the Sun Belt, and 100% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.086
#135 in FBS
Offense
-0.046
higher is better
Defense
+0.040
lower is better
SOS
-0.025
mean opp. rating
Elo
1344
Off EPA/play
higher is better
Def EPA/play
lower is better
Off success
Def success
Off explosive
Def explosive
Rush EPA
offense
Pass EPA
offense
Pts / drive
Pts / opportunity
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Coastal Carolina's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.086

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.083

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment-0.003

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining100%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production15%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.72σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-8.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Schedule

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@West VirginiaSep 5
2vsFordhamSep 12
3@DelawareSep 19
4vsLibertySep 24
5vsGeorgia SouthernOct 3
6@MarshallOct 10
7vsApp StateOct 17
9@Georgia StateOct 31
10vsOld DominionNov 7
11vsArkansas StateNov 14
12@LouisianaNov 21
13@James MadisonNov 28