#123

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Sun Belt · 6-7

Brooks Stadium (SC) · 21,000 seats

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers rank #123 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.053 points per play (Elo 1399), a 6-7 record in the Sun Belt, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 6-7 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.053
#123 of 136
Elo
1399
Off EPA/play
-0.041
higher is better
Def EPA/play
+0.046
lower is better
Off success
-0.023
Def success
+0.019
Off explosive
-0.007
Def explosive
+0.009
Rush EPA
-0.004
offense
Pass EPA
-0.091
offense
Pts / drive
1.70
11.0 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
3.24
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Coastal Carolina's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior+0.015

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production97%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.27σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-15.5 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Tad Hudson4 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

+0.02-0.05Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@VirginiaL 748-7.0-13.5L
2vsCharleston SouthernW 130-29.9-28.0L
3vsEast CarolinaL 038+5.4+7.0L
4@South AlabamaW 3820-16.4-14.5W
6@Old DominionL 747-17.6-18.5L
7vsUL MonroeW 238-2.7+3.0W
8@App StateW 4537-5.0-10.5W
10vsMarshallW 4427+4.7+7.0W
11vsGeorgia StateW 4027-14.2-7.0W
12@Georgia SouthernL 4045+3.8-3.0L
13@South CarolinaL 751-11.5-24.0L
14vsJames MadisonL 1059+17.9+24.0L
17NLouisiana TechL 1423-7.8-10.0W

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI