#91

Florida International Panthers

Conference USA · 7-6

Pitbull Stadium

Florida International Panthers rank #91 of 136 FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.013 points per play (Elo 1416), a 7-6 record in the Conference USA, and 33% of that rating still riding on preseason priors. They went 8-5 against the closing spread.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.013
#91 of 136
Elo
1416
Off EPA/play
-0.011
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.006
lower is better
Off success
-0.007
Def success
-0.000
Off explosive
-0.004
Def explosive
+0.008
Rush EPA
+0.005
offense
Pass EPA
-0.023
offense
Pts / drive
2.33
11.0 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
4.06
inside opp 40

All splits are opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Florida International's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.029

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior remaining33%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production42%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.58σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-10.9 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeYes

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.03Wk 1Wk 17

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1vsBethune-CookmanW 429-28.2-26.5W
2@Penn StateL 034-38.5-41.8W
3vsFlorida AtlanticW 3828-8.8-2.0W
4vsDelawareL 1638-6.3-4.0L
6@UConnL 1051-12.2-7.0L
8@Western KentuckyW 256-10.2-10.0W
9vsKennesaw StateL 2645-10.5+3.0L
10@Missouri StateL 2128-3.6-3.0L
11@Middle TennesseeW 5630+1.7-1.5W
12vsLibertyW 3427+1.4+2.5W
13vsJacksonville StateW 2721+2.7-2.5W
14NSam HoustonW 5616+15.7+10.5W
17NUTSAL 2057-9.8-7.0L

Lines are from this team's perspective (negative = favored). ATS is against the consensus closing spread.

For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI