College Football
#95

Florida International Panthers

Conference USA · 3-3

Pitbull Stadium · 20,000 seats

Florida International Panthers rank #95 among FBS teams in the Predictium ratings with an opponent-adjusted net rating of -0.002 points per play (Elo 1458), a 3-3 record in the Conference USA, and 50% of that rating still riding on preseason priors.

Ratings

Net rating
-0.002
#95 in FBS
Offense
-0.023
higher is better
Defense
-0.021
lower is better
SOS
-0.022
mean opp. rating
Elo
1458
Off EPA/play
-0.034
higher is better
Def EPA/play
-0.054
lower is better
Off success
-0.006
Def success
-0.020
Off explosive
-0.000
Def explosive
-0.007
Rush EPA
-0.046
offense
Pass EPA
-0.021
offense
Pts / drive
1.98
10.9 drives/gm
Pts / opportunity
2.67
inside opp 40

Offense and Defense are the net rating's own split (offense − defense reconciles to net rating exactly); everything else is opponent-adjusted, per play. Defensive numbers are from the defense's perspective: negative means opponents produced less than expected. SOS is the mean net rating of every opponent on the schedule.

What drives our rating

No black box: these are the actual model inputs behind Florida International's number, including exactly how much is still preseason prior versus observed play.

Preseason prior-0.024

Where our rating started before a snap was played

Prior season rating-0.029

Last season's final rating, for comparison

Offseason adjustment+0.004

This season's prior minus last season's final rating — our offseason risers/fallers number

Prior remaining50%

How much of today's rating still rides on that prior — fades as real games arrive

Returning production32%

Share of last season's production (PPA) back on the roster

Recruiting talent-0.47σ

Recruiting talent, standard deviations above the FBS average

Transfer portal-4.7 pts

Net production gained or lost through the transfer portal

Coaching changeNo

First-year head coach adds uncertainty and resets some priors

Quarterback

JJ Kohl1 starts

Rating trajectory

Weekly net rating across the season — starts at the preseason prior and moves as real games replace it.

0.00-0.02Wk 1Wk 8

Schedule & results

WkOpponentResultOur lineMarketATS
1@South FloridaL 9–19———
2vsBuffaloW 33–20———
3@Florida AtlanticL 10–16———
4vsLong Island UniversityW 20–3———
6vsNew Mexico StateW 22–3———
7@Jacksonville StateL 24–27———
8vsMiddle TennesseeOct 20———
9@LibertyOct 31———
10vsMissouri StateNov 7———
11@DelawareNov 14———
12@Kennesaw StateNov 21———
13vsSam HoustonNov 28———