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Markets Research

Writing behind Bubble Watch — market structure, AI capex, and what the weekly index is actually measuring.

July 4, 2026

When Intelligence Gets Cheap

GPT-4-level intelligence cost $30 per million tokens in 2023. Today it costs about 40 cents. If that trend reaches the frontier, the most valuable startups in history are selling a product whose price is heading toward the cost of electricity. Here is what the numbers, and the prediction markets, actually say.

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For analytical/entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. · Model B13 · © 2026 Predictium · Follow @PredictiumAI