Tuesday, Jul 14, 3:00 PM
Portland Fire @ Connecticut Sun
Tue 3:00 PMover 167 · +12.6% EV
Spread (CON)
-2 vs +1CON covers 60%
Total
171.4 vs 167over 59%
Score distribution
Margin (CON minus POR)
p5 -27p25 -10median +2p75 +12p95 +29
Total points
p5 142p25 159median 171p75 184p95 201
Team ratings
| 10 | W-L | 5 |
| 1328 | Elo | 1304 |
| 106.0 | Off rtg | 101.4 |
| 113.8 | Def rtg | 106.7 |
| 84.6 | Pace | 78.7 |
Off/def rating: points per 100 possessions — def rating LOWER is better. League averages: off 107.5, pace 80.6.
Projected players
Portland Fire
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 25.3 | 14.4 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Megan Gustafson | 27.8 | 13.2 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Bridget Carleton | 30.6 | 12.9 | 4.4 | 2.0 |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker | 30.0 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 |
| Emily Engstler | 25.4 | 9.4 | 5.9 | 2.0 |
| Kamiah Smalls | 17.6 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Chloe Bibby | 18.0 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Frieda Buhner | 17.7 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 27.8 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| Brittney Griner | 23.8 | 11.0 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 25.0 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 2.2 |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | 27.2 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Kennedy Burke | 24.6 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Diamond Miller | 21.4 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 18.0 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 16.6 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
Injuries
Portland Fire
Sania FeaginOut · Knee
As of 7/13/2026, 7:57:47 AM
Connecticut Sun
Saniya RiversOut · Ankle
Aneesah MorrowOut · Personal
Brittney GrinerOut · Quadriceps
As of 7/13/2026, 9:52:06 PM
Expected value
Moneyline+9.3% EV
Spread+11.6% EV
Total+12.6% EV
EV is shown exactly as published — never recomputed here. A pick chip on the slate means the model actually staked this game; every abstention is captioned, not hidden. For informational purposes only; not betting advice.