Tennis / ATP Outright
National Bank Open presented by Rogers — Championship Odds
Hard · 96-player draw · Starts Aug 2, 2026
View the full bracket →| Player | Win% | Fair | Mkt | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 17.7% | +466 | — | — |
| Alex De Minaur | 12.9% | +678 | — | — |
| Taylor Fritz | 10.4% | +864 | — | — |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 6.5% | +1429 | — | — |
| Ben Shelton | 6.1% | +1528 | — | — |
| Daniil Medvedev | 4.6% | +2082 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 4.2% | +2280 | — | — |
| Jiri Lehecka | 3.8% | +2525 | — | — |
| Arthur Fils | 3.8% | +2552 | — | — |
| Jakub Mensik | 3.3% | +2952 | — | — |
| Andrey Rublev | 3.3% | +2953 | — | — |
| Brandon Nakashima | 2.6% | +3798 | — | — |
| Casper Ruud | 2.1% | +4686 | — | — |
| Rafael Jodar | 2.1% | +4761 | — | — |
| Tommy Paul | 2.0% | +4803 | — | — |
| Learner Tien | 1.7% | +5931 | — | — |
| Joao Fonseca | 1.6% | +6132 | — | — |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1.3% | +7783 | — | — |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 1.2% | +8254 | — | — |
| Ugo Humbert | 1.0% | +10379 | — | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0.9% | +11460 | — | — |
| Luciano Darderi | 0.8% | +11826 | — | — |
| Alex Michelsen | 0.6% | +16545 | — | — |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0.5% | +18966 | — | — |
| Alexander Blockx | 0.5% | +20796 | — | — |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0.5% | +21468 | — | — |
| Karen Khachanov | 0.5% | +21886 | — | — |
| Raphael Collignon | 0.4% | +22914 | — | — |
| Cameron Norrie | 0.4% | +22964 | — | — |
| Jack Draper | 0.4% | +23808 | — | — |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0.4% | +24220 | — | — |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0.3% | +38915 | — | — |
| Zizou Bergs | 0.2% | +42840 | — | — |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0.2% | +45517 | — | — |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 0.2% | +65778 | — | — |
| Luca Van Assche | 0.1% | +67015 | — | — |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0.1% | +73614 | — | — |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 0.1% | +118839 | — | — |
| Jenson Brooksby | 0.1% | +127770 | — | — |
| Nuno Borges | 0.1% | +132566 | — | — |
| Ignacio Buse | 0.1% | +153745 | — | — |
| Kamil Majchrzak | 0.1% | +155410 | — | — |
| Sebastian Baez | 0.1% | +179937 | — | — |
| Jaume Munar | 0.1% | +196453 | — | — |
| Martin Landaluce | 0.0% | +205015 | — | — |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0.0% | +210736 | — | — |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0.0% | +215993 | — | — |
| Mariano Navone | 0.0% | +224693 | — | — |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 0.0% | +260149 | — | — |
| Fabian Marozsan | 0.0% | +281575 | — | — |
| Terence Atmane | 0.0% | +322300 | — | — |
| Corentin Moutet | 0.0% | +354212 | — | — |
| Gabriel Diallo | 0.0% | +388145 | — | — |
| Marin Cilic | 0.0% | +435033 | — | — |
| Adrian Mannarino | 0.0% | +582259 | — | — |
| Juncheng Shang | 0.0% | +631634 | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0.0% | +706528 | — | — |
| Daniel Altmaier | 0.0% | +703339 | — | — |
| Hamad Medjedovic | 0.0% | +776843 | — | — |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 0.0% | +865693 | — | — |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0.0% | +827535 | — | — |
| Zachary Svajda | 0.0% | +812107 | — | — |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0.0% | +883291 | — | — |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0.0% | +1412740 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0.0% | +1785691 | — | — |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0.0% | +1772368 | — | — |
| Marton Fucsovics | 0.0% | +2150318 | — | — |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0.0% | +2158784 | — | — |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0.0% | +2807881 | — | — |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0.0% | +2680281 | — | — |
| Mattia Bellucci | 0.0% | +2389522 | — | — |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0.0% | +2717347 | — | — |
| Jan Lennard Struff | 0.0% | +3065086 | — | — |
| James Duckworth | 0.0% | +3363457 | — | — |
| Vit Kopriva | 0.0% | +4545411 | — | — |
| Gael Monfils | 0.0% | +8472408 | — | — |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0.0% | +13579963 | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Liam Draxl | 0.0% | +110998443 | — | — |
| Valentin Royer | 0.0% | +34016535 | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Galarneau | 0.0% | +356716173 | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Qualifier | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Win% is our championship probability from an exact bracket simulation over every possible path through the draw. Fair odds are what we'd need to see to call it a coin flip; Mkt and Devig are the best available outright price and its no-vig fair probability. EV is guarded the same way match predictions are: a reference price too long a shot to trust, a sharp model/market disagreement, or an implausibly large apparent edge all suppress the claim rather than publish a number we don't trust — hover "no claim" for the specific reason. Not betting advice.